(19-3, 9-12-1 ATS)
Michigan State Spartans
(19-5, 8-15 ATS)
Top-10 rivals and two of the best teams from the Big Ten meet in what should be a fantastic college basketball gambling duel on Tuesday night in East Lansing. The Michigan State Spartans are coming off of their worst week of the season. They were hammered in Wisconsin and narrowly taken out by Illinois in their first two Big Ten losses of the season. They’re now just 0-4 ATS in their L/4 and 1-6 ATS in their L/7 overall. Meanwhile, since that dastardly three-game skid in the middle of January, the Purdue Boilermakers have really rebounded nicely, winning five straight games SU. NCAA basketball gambling fans haven’t been too thrilled with their efforts though, as they are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8.
HC Matt Painter really needs to see some more consistent efforts from his team to pick up some wins against the NCAA basketball spreads. It feels like on nights that the defense struggles, such as when it gave up 75 points to Indiana last week is when the offense is at its best, but when the ‘O’ fails like it did its previous three games in which it only averaged 65.0 PPG, the defense steps it up a notch. The two just haven’t come together since a January 5th thumping of Minnesota. Don’t blame the threesome of G E’Twaun Moore, F Robbie Hummel, and F JaJuan Johnson, though. Those three are putting up 48.1 points per game between the three of them, but no one else on the team is scoring more than 6.0 points per game.
Meanwhile in Spartan land, HC Tom Izzo isn’t necessarily looking for more consistency. He’s just hoping to get his top guard back on the court. G Kalin Lucas missed the Illinois game and only played a bit over a half of basketball against Wisconsin. He is the heart and soul of this offense, scoring 15.6 points per game, and he is frequently the man who is called upon to take the big shot. Lucas’ ankle injury has him listed as questionable, though. If he can’t go, F Raymar Morgan needs to step it up in a big way. Morgan has only scored a total of 16 points in his L/3 games overall, and that just won’t cut it for a team that is hoping to return to the National Championship game in April.
There’s a ton of inconsistency right now on the Michigan State roster, and though the Spartans are a tough team to beat in East Lansing, the Boilermakers have enough veteran leadership to get the job done. It’s a short spread, but Purdue should walk away with another huge victory to move one step closer towards the regular season Big Ten championship, especially if Lucas doesn’t play for Sparty.
Selection: Purdue Boilermakers
The Boilermakers are a solid 5-1 ATS in their L/6 games played against the Spartans. BetPhoenix is your home for all of the great NCAA basketball betting action, so sign-up for an account right now through Bang the Book and capitalize on Purdue at +2.5!