(30-2, 12-16-1 ATS)
Texas A&M Aggies
(23-8, 18-9 ATS)
The semifinals of the Big XII Tournament will get underway on Saturday afternoon at the Sprint Center in Kansas City when the Kansas Jayhawks battle with the Texas A&M Aggies for positioning in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. Rock Chalk probably already has the #1 seed in the Midwest Region locked up, but it won’t want to take any chances by getting bounced prematurely from a tournament in which it was a -300 favorite for. The Aggies have probably moved all the way up to the #5 or #6 line in the dance after advancing to the semis of this tournament, but it has its sights set on the Big XII crown, which would surely boost their seeding.
The Jayhawks continue to have one of the most well-balanced teams in the nation, and even though they were pushed to the brink on Thursday against Texas Tech, they turned it on late in the second half and got through with a solid win by a dozen points. Their average margin of victory since losing to Oklahoma State on February 27th has been 16.7 points per game. KU is scoring 82.2 points per game, which is the fifth best mark in the nation. That scoring efficiency makes life incredibly difficult on opposing offenses, which are only shooting 37.7% from the floor against it this year, the second best mark in the country.
The Aggies had Nebraska nailed down early in the second half, but let the Huskers sneak back into it. In the end, a 70-64 final probably doesn’t do justice to the effort, as Texas A&M was never really in danger of losing the game for any stretch of action. It was A&M fourth straight win, but it stopped a string of ten straight victories against the college basketball betting line that ended the regular season. The Aggies have only allowed 60.3 points per game in their L/7 overall.
One of those seven great defensive efforts came against these Jayhawks. A&M held down mighty Kansas to just 59 points in a narrow five point defeat in College Station. History may be on the Jayhawks’ side, as they are 14-1 SU and 10-5 ATS against the Aggies since 1997, but we’re going to back the underdogs in this one. Kansas’ motivation to play this game can’t be high, and this looked like a team that would rather rest for next week’s NCAA Tournament than win the Big XII. Take any points you can get.
Selection: Texas A&M Aggies