(3-1, 2-2 ATS)
Texas A&M Aggies
(3-1, 2-2 ATS)
Old conference rivals will collide on the amazing grounds of Dallas Cowboys Stadium on Saturday afternoon, as the Arkansas Razorbacks meet with the Texas A&M Aggies.
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It feels like an eternity ago, but the Hogs haven’t come onto the field since blowing their chance of beating the No. 1 team in the country, the Alabama Crimson Tide. QB Ryan Mallett might be one of the best in the nation, but he certainly didn’t have his best stuff two weeks ago in defeat, as he threw three very costly interceptions. Still, this is a man that has averaged well over 300 passing yards per game, and he still could ultimately win the Heisman Trophy. The Razorbacks tend to abandon the run at times, as they rank just 102nd in the nation with 102.0 yards per game on the ground, but they still rank 18th in total offense at 468.0 yards per game and are averaging a healthy 31.5 points per game against a relatively tough schedule. The defense has been strong for HC Bobby Petrino’s club as well. You don’t think of defense when you think of Arkansas football, but the Hogs rank in the Top 25 in total defense (297.0 YPG), pass defense (156.8 YPG), and scoring defense (14.5 PPG) this season.
QB Jerrod Johnson was thought to be a Heisman Trophy long shot once upon a time, but all of those thoughts went by the boards last week when he threw four picks in the loss to the Oklahoma State Cowboys in a nationally televised encounter. We know that Johnson is still one of the most dynamic players in the country, as he is clearly a threat to run for 80 yards or lay a 70 yard pass on a rope to a streaking receiver on any given play. In spite of his eight INTs on the season, Johnson has 12 passing scores and 1,274 yards to go with 73 yards on the ground and a TD. Many of his yards lost can be attributed to poor offensive line play though, as the Aggies have had absolutely no luck trying to block opposing pass rushes this season. After allowing QB Brandon Weeden and company to torch it, it is amazing that AM still ranks No. 14 in the nation in total defense at 279.5 yards per game and third in rush defense at 68.5 yards per game. We must remember though, that before Oklahoma State, this schedule was incredibly soft with games against La Tech, FIU, and an FCS foe.
This might immediately look like a shootout on paper, but we aren’t so sure that that will be the case. Turnovers could plague both teams, and even though there might be well over 900 yards of offense between the two clubs when this one is said and done, we aren’t so sure that it will translate into the nine TDs necessary to get this one past the number.
College Football Free Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks/Texas A&M Aggies Under 62.5