October 29, 2010

College Football Betting: Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns Picks



Baylor Bears
(6-2, 4-4 ATS)

Texas Longhorns
(4-3, 2-5 ATS)

The last time the Baylor Bears were in the Top 25, the Big XII wasn’t even formed yet. The same could be said about the last time they were on their way to a bowl game. However, they’ll be trying to do something that hasn’t been done since 1938 on Saturday: Hand a second straight loss to the Texas Longhorns in Austin.

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The Bears probably aren’t legitimately one of the best 25 teams in America, but it’s nice to see that number next to their name now. QB Robert Griffin is clearly the man to thank for all of this in 2010, as he has thrown for 2,373 yards and 18 scores against just four picks on the season. Griffin is a dual threat as well, rushing for 384 yards and six TDs as well. Heisman hype? Griffin probably isn’t on the list yet, but perhaps he should be. A victory over the Longhorns to take over as one of the top Texas teams might change all that though, especially if some of the other Heisman Trophy candidates end up falling on “Roadblock Saturday.” The Bears probably wouldn’t be anywhere without the services of RB Jay Finley, though. Finley has 697 yards on the ground and is coming off of a 250 yard performance against the Kansas State Wildcats last week. Finley has 393 yards and four TDs in his last two overall and has rumbled for just under ten yards per carry in that stretch as well. On this Halloween eve, the scariest thing for Baylor is going to be the play of its defense, especially after getting rolled up on by the Wildcats for 42 points.

Texas has dominated this series over recent years and never really thought that it would end up dropping from supremacy in the Lone Star State, but there is a real chance that this might be the fifth or even the sixth best team in its own state at this point. The ‘Horns are just getting nothing going offensively this year, proving that QB Colt McCoy indeed was that important to this squad. The offense ranks just No. 71 in the nation in total ‘O’ at 358.7 yards per game, and the end result has been a 23.6 points per game scoring average, just No. 80. Texas hasn’t scored more than 24 points in a game since September 11th, something that is probably going to have to change if the team isn’t going to endure a third loss at home on the season. Defensively, it has suddenly struggled as well. DC Will Muschamp has perhaps lost his unit, as this squad has allowed at least 28 points in three of the last four games that the Longhorns have played. However, it’s incredibly tough to try to get something going on defense when your offensive is consistently ineffective.

Could we really have another debacle in Austin? We tend to believe so. Griffin is good enough to put this whole team on his back, and if Finley can give him any help, the Longhorns are going to have more than they bargained for on their hands. A season of dismay is only going to get more dismal for UT on Saturday.

College Football Free Pick: Baylor Bears +7.5

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