College Football Betting By the Numbers: Week 9

When you bet on NCAA Football, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NCAA football betting lines for Week 9. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!

-19: The number of rushing yards that the Florida Gators had last year in the World’s Largest Cocktail Party versus the Georgia Bulldogs. It’s not all that often that we get to talk about a number that is less than zero, but Florida pulled it off last year with the statuesque QB John Brantley under center. Brantley was literally treated like a ragdoll in the pocket against the UGA front, and the end result was negative yardage for the ground game of the men in blue and orange. We guarantee that Florida ends up with more rushing yards when these two meet this week.

0: The number of wins that the Duke Blue Devils have all-time against the Florida State Seminoles. The Dookies have never really had much of a chance either against the garnet and gold. Duke has never come closer than 19 points to Florida State, and this is perhaps the best chance that the team has ever had at not just beating the Seminoles, but making a mark in the ACC as well. It won’t be easy though, as FSU has scored at least 49 points in all of its home games this year, and it is favored by four touchdowns on Saturday afternoon.

1: The number of times that the Oklahoma Sooners have ever beaten the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Can you believe that the only time that Oklahoma ever won a game in this series was over four decades ago? These two football powerhouses haven’t played all that much over the years, but they are going to be involved in arguably one of the biggest games of the season this weekend, as both are ranked in the Top 10 in the country.

1: The number of teams this year that still have yet to be beaten on the college football betting odds. The winning team is the Utah State Aggies, who are riding a remarkable defense all the way to a bowl game and maybe even the WAC title by the time this year is said and done with. The Aggies have conceded just 13.9 points per game this year, and when combined with QB Chuckie Keeton, the recipe for success is there.

1: The number of teams that have yet to cover a game this year in college football. Even lousy teams like the Idaho Vandals have a cover on the campaign, but the Virginia Cavaliers don’t. The expectation was there that this would be another bowl season for the Cavvies, but they have clearly taken a major step in the wrong direction since they are just 2-6 SU and 0-7-1 ATS. Few teams have been a bigger disappointment than the Hoos when push has come to shove.

2: The number of teams that are still winless from an SU standpoint this year. We totally understand the fact that the Massachusetts Minutemen haven’t been able to compete, as they just don’t have the talent quite yet of a major college football program. Meanwhile, the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, we have some questions for. Maybe Head Coach Larry Fedora knew what he was doing taking over a team that was going nowhere fast thanks to pending probation as opposed to this train wreck of an SMS team, which clearly is one of the most underachieving teams in the nation.

7: The number of consecutive games in which the underdog team covered when the USC Trojans and Arizona Wildcats have played each other. Of course, it is Arizona that has been the pup in the mass majority of those games, but USC has its one cover in there as well from its first probation season. The Cats are getting just 6.5 points on Saturday, so it is going to take a Herculean effort to stick inside of this number against the stout Men of Troy.

7: The number of games that the MAC has won against automatic qualifying schools already this season. The biggest win of the bunch probably came last week when the Toledo Rockets knocked off the Cincinnati Bearcats, but this week, the Mid-American has a chance to pull off essentially the same feat once again. The Kent State Golden Flashes are quite comparable to Toledo, and they are going to be taking on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, a team that is very comparable to Cincinnati. Be very careful, Scarlet Knights. Be very, very careful.

8: The number of consecutive covers that the Oregon State Beavers have against the Washington Huskies. These two are going to meet up at CenturyLink Field on Saturday night in the final kickoff of the night, and it is as dangerous of a game as there is on the docket for a Top 10 team. QB Sean Mannion is back, and he has already led his team to one cover in this series in his career, but if the oddsmakers are insinuating this properly, it will be OSU that ends up in some trouble, and that eight-game cover streak might come to a close.

9: The number of teams that are below .500 right now in Conference USA. It is unbelievable to think that anywhere between three and five games into conference play that someone aside from the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, UCF Knights, and East Carolina Pirates would be above .500. And the truth of the matter is that it isn’t likely for that to change. This will be a conference that gets to four bowl teams this year, but anything more really doesn’t seem all that likely when push comes to shove.

10-3: The numbers that represent the ATS record for the Alabama Crimson Tide against SEC teams over the course of their last 13 tries. That, of course, dates back to last year when the only failed covers came against the LSU Tigers and… that’s right… None other than these Mississippi State Bulldogs! These are the same Bulldogs that are paying a visit to Tuscaloosa this year, and that in itself has to be scary for Alabama. The fact that MSU is undefeated and that the game against the Bayou Bengals is just next week has to make it just downright terrifying.

41: The number of points that the oddsmakers expect the Michigan State Wolverines and Wisconsin Badgers to combine for this weekend. It is the lowest ‘total’ on the board by a healthy margin, but it certainly isn’t without justification. Remember that QB Andrew Maxwell is leading one of the worst offenses in the Big Ten, and the MSU defense is absolutely legit and is one of the best in the conference. The Badgers are also rolling thanks to their defense, because we know that their offense, even though we must say is improved for sure with QB Joel Stave calling the shots, still isn’t going to be carrying them to victories against the best and brightest in the Big Ten.

46: The number of points that the Oregon Ducks are favored by this weekend over the Colorado Buffaloes. The truth of the matter is that the Buffs are getting used to this role as the biggest pups of the weekend, as it is the second straight time that they are getting the most points. That didn’t help last week in college football betting action, as Colorado was clocked by 44 by the USC Trojans as 39.5 point underdogs, and the hope is that this time around, the team can perform at least a tad bit better and stay inside of this ridiculously large number.

54.25: The number of points that the Texas Tech Red Raiders have scored over the course of their last four games against the Kansas State Wildcats. In that stretch, the high flying Red Raiders have logged three covers and three outright victories, but the one loss came last year. T-Tech has a history of being able to put up oodles of points against some of the best teams in the nation on the road, and if this proves to be no exception this weekend, KSU’s National Championship dreams could be shattered.

77.5: The number of points that the oddsmakers think the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and New Mexico State Aggies will combine for this weekend. It’s the highest ‘total’ on the board, and it is the first time in quite some time that there hasn’t been a game flash up in the 80s. La Tech is going to get its points, and likely at least 50 of them, so the question is whether the Aggies can even remotely keep up or not. Odds have it, the answer is no, but that’s not to say that the Bulldogs can’t put 78 on the board all by themselves.

Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.