November 15, 2010

College Football Betting: Miami Redhawks vs. Akron Zips Pick



Miami Redhawks
(6-4, 6-4 ATS)

Akron Zips
(0-10, 3-7 ATS)

It’s not often that we see a winless team in a nationally televised tussle, but that’s exactly what is happening in NCAA football betting action on Wednesday night, as the Akron Zips play host to the Miami Redhawks.

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The Redhawks have to feel like they are on Cloud Nine right now. Assuming that they end up winning this game, they’ll know that they probably have done enough to lock down a bowl berth somewhere, though one of the MAC bowl tie ins isn’t a guarantee. One thing that will certainly nail down that MAC bowl game though, would be winning the East Division. This is still a three team race, and in all likelihood, the duel next week against the Temple Owls is going to be for the outright division crown. Still, winning this game first is paramount and cannot be overlooked. QB Zac Dysert is dealing with injured ribs that he suffered last week against the Buffalo Bulls, and if he cannot go, the nation’s No. 119 ranked rushing offense will have to perform significantly better than it has all season long. Miami knows that its defense is going to be key as well. This group might be the second best in the MAC behind Temple this year, as it ranks No. 40 in the country in total ‘D’ at 345.9 yards per game and is No. 65 in scoring at 26.6 points per game.

The Zips have their own problems to worry about, and the biggest issue that they just haven’t been able to figure out how to win games. They’re the only winless major college football program in America and have the nation’s longest losing streak. The play of QB Patrick Nicely needs to improve quickly. With backup QB Matt Rodgers out of the lineup, Nicely is really the only option that Akron has. He has thrown for just 1,360 yards this year and has been picked off a dozen times against just seven scores. On the ground, RBs Alex Allen and Nate Burney have at least proven to be competent, but they haven’t been stellar to say the least. The two have combined for 1,088 yards, while Allen has six of the team’s eight scores on the ground on the campaign. The defense has allowed at least 28 points to all ten teams it has faced this year, including getting lit up for at least 37 seven times. This unit is conceding 437.6 yards per game and 38.8 yards per game, and the secondary is really to blame. Allowing 268.8 yards per game through the air is inexcusable, especially in a conference in which running the ball is the main mode of moving up the field.

The Redhawks are in a typical sandwich spot right here, as they are coming off of the game in which they clinched bowl eligibility and have the duel with Temple next week. This doesn’t look like the most treacherous roadie in the world, but things could get mighty interesting, especially if Dysert is out of the lineup. Don’t be afraid to take the points in this one.

College Football Free Pick: Akron Zips +13.5

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