Florida State Seminoles
(1-0, 1-0 ATS)
(1-0, 0-1 ATS)
If the Florida State Seminoles and Oklahoma Sooners had met in NCAA football betting warfare before last week’s games, the college football odds would be significantly different. However, after watching one team look incredible and one team struggle mightily, we aren’t so sure that the oddsmakers have this one spot on.
The Noles looked absolutely stunning for the first time in a number of years in the first game of the HC Jimbo Fisher era. They blew the Samford Bulldogs out of the water 59-7 in a game that was never really close from the get go. The offense excelled, putting 42 points on the board in a thrilling first half that featured four TD passes by Heisman Trophy candidate QB Christian Ponder and a punt return for a touchdown by KR Greg Reid. The defense did allow 300 yards, but a bunch of those yards came in the second half when the game was out of hand. Samford did score its lone touchdown in the first half of play, but all things considered, Fisher has to be incredibly pleased in his first game replacing the legendary HC Bobby Bowden. Still, this test in Norman is going to be a very difficult one that is nowhere near like the one that Florida State ran up against last week against an FCS foe at home.
The Sooners had better hope that last week’s 31-24 narrow escape against the Utah State Aggies was nothing more than a case of a team that was looking ahead to its next opponent, or this is going to be yet another very lengthy season. HC Bob Stoops had to want to take his kids behind the shed after allowing well over 450 yards to a WAC opponent not named Boise State. QB Landry Jones was thought to be a real Heisman hopeful in this, his sophomore season after getting his feet wet last year, but at least through one game, that hasn’t been the case. Jones only went 17-of-36 passing for 217 yards with two scores and two picks against an Aggies defense that ranked poorly in the country and in the WAC last year. Instead, the man that really emerged was RB DeMarco Murray, who found pay dirt twice and rushed for 218 yards. Stoops might not be concerned quite yet, as the Sooners have a bad history with both the MWC and the WAC. Last year, BYU beat Oklahoma, and both TCU and Boise State have epic victories against it as well.
This might be considered the third best game of the day on paper, but it has the potential to be the most exciting of the three biggies. The Seminoles proved last year that they have the talent to go on the road and beat a quality foe, as they tamed the same Cougar team that this Oklahoma squad lost to at a neutral site. Fisher would be able to affirm himself as the man in charge of a program on the rise with an upset, and we think the garnet and gold might be ready to sniff glory once again. Go with the Seminoles in the shocker for a line that has plummeted all week long.
Selection: Florida State Seminoles +7