Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2013 NCAA football betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 10!
#7 Miami Hurricanes (7-0 SU, 4-3 ATS) @ #3 Florida State Seminoles (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Spread: Florida State -22, Total: Off
Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL – Saturday, November 2nd, 8:00 ET
This is the second time in three weeks that the Seminoles are going to be playing in the national game of the week. With both Alabama and Oregon off, there is nowhere to go but up for FSU, and winning this game would probably but it back in control of the No. 2 spot in the BCS. This isn’t going to be the ultimate pushover of pushovers though, as the Hurricanes are ranked in the Top 10 in the land. There aren’t many out there that really believe Miami is one of the best teams in America, and it is very likely that it is going to fall to the wayside the same way that Missouri did last week against South Carolina. Still, the Canes have kept this game close each of the last two seasons and have covered both games, so they aren’t going to be out of in this one in spite of that horrid 22-point spread that it has to try to overcome.
#4 Ohio State Buckeyes (8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS) @ Purdue Boilermakers (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS)
Spread: Ohio State -31, Total: Off
Ross Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN – Saturday, November 2nd, 12:00 ET
The Buckeyes are the best team in the Big Ten this year, and they are going to be playing this one on the road against one of the worst teams in the Big Ten. The issue that we have with this spread is that it feels a dollar short and a week too late. Ohio State’s coming out party was last week against Penn State, and this week, anything less than a six-touchdown victory will seem like a brutal disappointment. Purdue has been terrible this year, but at home, it has had its share of relatively close calls. Just ask Notre Dame how much fun it is to come into Ross Ade Stadium. The Boilermakers though, are one of the biggest home underdogs that we have seen all season long, and that just doesn’t bode well in what could be a really ugly game to start the day on Saturday.
#8 Clemson Tigers (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS) @ Virginia Cavaliers (2-6 SU, 3-4-1 ATS)
Spread: Clemson -17, Total: Off
Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA – Saturday, November 2nd, 3:30 ET
We’ve seen the Tigers play some bad games this year at times, and we really aren’t even talking about that dud of a game against Florida State that probably ended their National Championship hopes. We’re starting to believe that this is a team that is a real mixed bag, as there have been all sorts of problems against teams that Clemson should be having no issues with whatsoever. Virginia might only be 2-6 this year, but it does have both of its wins and two of its three covers here at Scott Stadium. There isn’t going to be an upset in the cards by any stretch of the imagination, but this is pretty much the game of the year for the Hoos, and we expect that they are going to play it accordingly.
Tennessee Volunteers (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) @ #11 Missouri Tigers (7-1 SU, 7-1 ATS)
Spread: Missouri -13, Total: Off
Faurot Field, Columbia, MO – Saturday, November 2nd, 7:00 ET
Don’t you just get the feeling that the Tigers are about set to fall off of the face of the earth and end up out of the Top 25 in the next three weeks or so? They were beaten last week by South Carolina at home, and now they have a Tennessee team that has proven that it can beat those same Gamecocks. The Vols are thinking about a bowl game at this point, which was probably about the only realistic goal that Head Coach Butch Jones could have had in his first year on the job in Knoxville. The SEC East race might end up being wide open again when this one is said and done with if the Tigers aren’t careful. QB Maty Mauk needs to play one heck of a game for Missouri just to win this one, let alone to win this one by two touchdowns. This might end up being one of the worst spreads of the entire week when we go back and look at it again.
#11 Auburn Tigers (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS) @ Arkansas Razorbacks (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS)
Spread: Auburn -9.5, Total: Off
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR – Saturday, November 2nd, 6:00 ET
It has been a year of carnage in the SEC, and Auburn is shockingly one of the last three teams left standing with any chance whatsoever to win the BCS National Championship. Either the Tigers or the Crimson Tide have to lose eventually when these two meet in the Iron Bowl, but until then, Auburn has to get that far without slipping. This is where the pressure has caught up to teams like LSU (losing to Ole Miss), Georgia (losing to Missouri), Missouri (losing to South Carolina), South Carolina (losing to Tennessee), and Texas A&M (losing to, oh, you guessed it! Auburn!). These are the really troubling games on the road against teams that would love nothing more than to knock you off and end your season. Arkansas hasn’t had much to smile at this year, but it does have a defense that might give a nicked up QB Nick Marshall some issues. Arkansas has covered four of the last five in this series and has won four of the last five SU as well.
UTEP Miners (1-6 SU, 1-6 ATS) @ #12 Texas A&M Aggies (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Texas A&M -45, Total: Off
Kyle Field, College Station, TX – Saturday, November 2nd, 9:00 ET
After weeks of frustrating results and after a pair of losses already suffered at home, this should be a very happy homecoming for the Aggies. QB Johnny Manziel has been banged up, and though he did lead his team to a win last week, there is no doubt that he has to be looking at this week as a glorified bye. If he’s playing much past the first drive of the third quarter, we would be surprised. UTEP has been one of the worst teams in Conference USA this year, and if you aren’t keeping up with the best (or even the worst) of Conference USA, you’re not going to end up coming anywhere near when push comes to shove against a rock solid team like Texas A&M. The Aggies have their sights set on being back in the Top 10 in the land, and a win probably accomplishes just that on Saturday night, especially if there is any carnage above them.
Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) @ #14 South Carolina Gamecocks (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Spread: South Carolina -12.5, Total: Off
Williams Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC – Saturday, November 2nd, 12:21 ET
Every game in the SEC is considered dangerous nowadays, but that doesn’t mean that this one is going to turn out to be anywhere near as treacherous as the oddsmakers are making it out to be. South Carolina is still one of the best 10 teams in America as we see it, and we aren’t letting losses to teams like Georgia and Tennessee bother us all that much. QB Connor Shaw left last week’s game injured, marking the third time that he was knocked down, but he got up and led his team to a season-saving win last week over Missouri on the road. The wins haven’t been pretty when they have been coming for the Gamecocks, but they haven’t been pretty for the Bulldogs either. QB Dak Prescott isn’t good enough to win this game on the road, as he was barely good enough to hold off a bad Kentucky team last week at home in a huge Thursday nighter.
#18 Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) @ #15 Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Texas Tech -1.5, Total: Off
Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX – Saturday, November 2nd, 7:00 ET
Someone is going to have to win the Big XII this year, and the fact of the matter is that this conference is gaining more and more respect as the weeks go by. These two teams are both considered reasonable teams that are amongst the best 25 in the land, and Oklahoma has that distinction, too. For as long as Baylor keeps scoring a zillion points against anyone and everyone, this is a conference that has a legit shot of putting two teams in the BCS this year. Both the Cowboys and the Red Raiders have slipped once, and neither can afford a second this early in the conference campaign. We already proved last week that T-Tech couldn’t go on the road and beat Oklahoma, but can it stay at home and beat Okie State? We still aren’t buying that the Cowboys are really all that they were cracked up to be at the start of the year, though last week, Head Coach Mike Gundy pushed the right buttons to score a big win over Iowa State.
Nevada Wolf Pack (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) @ #16 Fresno State Bulldogs (7-0 SU, 2-5 ATS)
Spread: Fresno State -20, Total: Off
Bulldog Stadium, Fresno, CA – Saturday, November 2nd, 10:30 ET
Fresno State is one of these teams that strikes us as one that is ready to be upset. The team has managed to barely escape against teams like (winless!) Hawaii and (three win!) San Diego State, and now, the time is here to try to figure out how to take on one of the trickiest offenses in America. The Bulldogs have had all sorts of problems playing defense against some bad offenses, and the Wolf Pack have baffled their share of teams. Fresno State is 0-4 ATS at home thus far this year, and we have a tough time believing that this game is going to change any of that, though it is clear that the oddsmakers have caught up. Three or four weeks ago, a Top 20 ranked team would have been at least -28 against a team like Nevada.
#17 Northern Illinois Huskies (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) @ Massachusetts Minutemen (1-7 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Northern Illinois -23, Total: Off
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA – Saturday, November 2nd, 12:00 ET
This is the type of game that is going to kill Northern Illinois this year. For as much as Fresno State has just mildly escaped from so many of its foes on the season, there are far too many cupcakes like this one for the Bulldogs to ultimately behind the Huskies unless they lose. Northern Illinois is 4-1 ATS this season on the road, and this is another one of these games that we could very easily see turning into a one-sided romp in a hurry. QB Jordan Lynch has over 400 rushing yards over the course of his last two games, and he might add another 100 or more in this one against a bad Massachusetts team that is still essentially transitioning into the FBS. For all of the bad, bad teams in the MAC though, at least the Minutemen have a .500 record from an ATS standpoint, which is way more than we can say for the Miami Ohio’s and the Western Michigan’s of this world.
Colorado Buffaloes (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) @ #20 UCLA Bruins (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Spread: UCLA -26.5, Total: Off
Rose Bowl Stadium, Pasadena, CA – Saturday, November 2nd, 7:30 ET
The Bruins have got to be thrilled that they don’t have another of the best teams in the Pac-12 this week. They had to deal with Stanford and Oregon over the course of the last two weeks, and now, they essentially get a de facto bye as long as they don’t overlook the Buffaloes. Colorado does have three wins this season, which is more than we probably figured that it was going to get, but this is a team that let Colorado State run up and down the field on it earlier this year. Is there any hope of stopping QB Brett Hundley and the UCLA offense? Stanford and Oregon did well against Hundley, effectively ending his Heisman Trophy campaign prematurely, but at least he can win the rest of his games, get this team to at least nine wins and win the Pac-12 South to get another rip at either Oregon or Stanford in the Pac-12 Championship Game.
#21 Michigan Wolverines (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) @ #22 Michigan State Spartans (7-1 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)
Spread: Michigan State -5, Total: Off
Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI – Saturday, November 2nd, 3:30 ET
Michigan and Michigan State almost feel like they should be getting just a little more respect this year. Both are only one-loss teams, and there are a ton of teams in the SEC and other conferences with multiple losses that are in front of them both. Heck, Louisville and UCF, both one loss teams in their own right, are getting a lot more respect than these two schools from the Mitten. Maybe it’s that neither one is all that great, and maybe it’s just an oversight. We might see on Saturday. Michigan State is known for its ugly football, and it has had all sorts of problems over the course of the season offensively. The Wolverines haven’t had problems offensively, but they have let Penn State and Indiana drop oodles and oodles of yards and points on them. QB Devin Gardner is the only reason this team is still sitting here with one loss at this point in the season.
#24 Wisconsin Badgers (5-2 SU, 6-1 ATS) @ Iowa Hawkeyes (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Wisconsin -8.5, Total: Off
Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA – Saturday, November 2nd, 12:00 ET
This is one of the many traditional rivalry games in the Big Ten, and it is yet another one of these clashes that, though it means something regionally, really means squat on the national scene. Wisconsin is just more or less floating along, beating the teams that it should beat and getting beaten by the ones that really challenge it. However, we haven’t really seen this team play a bad game this year. Iowa has started to fall from grace as soon as its schedule has gotten a little bit tough, and this is one of these games where we could very well see an upset, but in all likelihood, the visitors are going to prevail. Games like this are the ones that Head Coach Kirk Ferentz needs to hold onto his job in the future.
Navy Midshipmen (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) @ #25 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-2 SU, 3-4-1 ATS)
Spread: Notre Dame -16.5, Total: Off
Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN – Saturday, November 2nd, 3:30 ET
Death, taxes, and Notre Dame beating Navy. That was about all that was a guarantee in life until relatively recently when the Middies have risen up and at least challenged the Golden Domers. The streak that spanned over four decades has been broken though, and Notre Dame is working on a new streak of wins over one of its arch rivals. The Fighting Irish really aren’t all that far removed from the BCS at this point, as they have snuck into the bottom of the poll and could be on their way if they can run the table. That’s easier said than done for a team that plays against one of the tougher schedules in the nation every year, but Head Coach Brian Kelly figured out how to get this team all the way through this brutal schedule to the National Championship Game last year, so going 10-2 and making it to the BCS isn’t totally out of the question.
is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.
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