Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2013 NCAA football betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 11!
#13 LSU Tigers (7-2 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) @ #1 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Alabama -12.5, Total: 54
Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL – Saturday, November 9th, 8:00 ET
It’s definitely a week where the best of the best are going to get challenged and put up to their biggest tests of the season, and the biggest of the tests might come for the #1 team in the land. Save for the early season road game against the Texas A&M Aggies, Alabama really hasn’t faced all that much in terms of talented sides, but this is going to be a much different story. The Bayou Bengals have had their number over the years at times, and that includes when they went on the road and beat the Tide in Tuscaloosa two seasons ago. Now, LSU is back with a much better offense that very well could have some success against this Alabama defense. It’s entirely plausible to think that this game could have 50 points in it, something you never would have guessed was even possible last year. An upset in this one, and there is a huge wrench thrown into the works. If not, it’s clear sailing until the end of the month for the Crimson Tide. LSU is 3-1 ATS in the last four games in this series.
#2 Florida State Seminoles (8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS) @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Spread: Florida State -35, Total: 54.5
BB&T Field, Winston-Salem, NC – Saturday, November 9th, 12:00 ET
Weird things have happened at BB&T Field over the years, but this doesn’t feel like it is one of those games where something awkward is going to happen. Others will be tested on Saturday, but FSU shouldn’t be one of those teams. Normally speaking, you’d suggest that this is a letdown game for the garnet and gold, but every time we have suggested that Florida State was due for a letdown thus far this season, it has come out and pummeled another foe. This is the last road game of the year before the major showdown with Florida at the end of the season, and now that the test with Miami is passed, it is clear that there shouldn’t be another challenging game. These Demon Deacons nearly pulled off the upset of the Canes two weeks ago, and if they play as well in this one as they did in that one, we could be in for a show. The underdog has covered in seven of the last nine in this series, and it has won five of those seven games in the process.
#3 Oregon Ducks (8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS) @ #6 Stanford Cardinal (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Oregon -10.5, Total: 65
Stanford Stadium, Palo Alto, CA – Thursday, November 7th, 9:00 ET
This one has been billed as the “Game of the Year” for quite some time, and the hope is that it is going to live up to that billing. We’ve been wondering all season long if a one-loss team from the Pac-12 would be good enough to hop some lesser unbeatens, and we are going to get the answer to that question if Stanford wins this game. You’d have to think that the Cardinal will jump up to #3 in the BCS with a triumph. You’d also like to think that the merry-go-round involving the #2 spot in the BCS would turn once again with an Oregon win on the road. The Quack Attack would jump back over Florida State to get into the National Championship Game picture. More importantly, the winner of this game will almost certainly win the Pac-12 North and earn a spot in the Pac-12 Championship Game. We are firm believers that the winner of this game is going to be heading to the BCS National Championship Game. Seven straight games between these two exceeded the number until last season when the Cardinal stole the show defensively and pulled off the upset in a 17-14 overtime win.
#10 Oklahoma Sooners (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) @ #6 Baylor Bears (7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS)
Spread: Baylor -14.5, Total: 74
Floyd Case Stadium, Waco, TX – Thursday, November 7th, 7:30 ET
There are few teams in the land that have risen through the rankings quicker than the Bears have. They really haven’t proven a whole heck of a lot since they have played against one of the worst schedules in the country, but things are about to get real in a hurry. Oklahoma is coming to town, and it has already spoiled the undefeated season of Texas Tech. This really is an important game in the grand scheme of things as well, as it really does seem like the Big XII, a conference without a league title game, could be decided right here. There are more tests for Baylor to pass, but this is a big one because it is the first one. The Bears have covered seven of the last 10 in this series, but they were underdogs in each and every one of these games. Heck, 10 years ago, Baylor was +54.5 on the road in Norman. Now, it is a 14.5-point favorite against OU in Waco.
#8 Missouri Tigers (8-1 SU, 7-1-1 ATS) @ Kentucky Wildcats (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Missouri -14, Total: Off
Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY – Saturday, November 9th, 12:00 ET
The road to the SEC Championship Game runs through Columbia at this point, though we still aren’t sure whether it is ultimately going to be Columbia, SC or Columbia, MO which gets the right to head to Atlanta to take on what most likely will be Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. These Tigers have some bite to them for sure, and they are getting a bit of a reprieve this week against Kentucky. The game is on the road though, and these are the types of games that have proven to be problematic all season long for all of the teams in the SEC. Kentucky has covered three of its last four games, and it had a shot at beating both Mississippi State and South Carolina on the road just in the last month. Though the Tigers have beaten all challengers like these, this could be a different story. Mizzou won the first meeting between these two teams 33-10 to cover the spread.
#9 Auburn Tigers (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) @ Tennesseee Volunteers (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Spread: Auburn -7.5, Total: 53.5
Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN – Saturday, November 9th, 12:00 ET
Many think that LSU is the team that can really give Alabama a run for its money. We aren’t all that sure that Auburn can’t do it, too. However, the Tigers have some business to tend to first, as this game on Rocky Top isn’t going to be easy. It is the second consecutive road game for the Tigers, who crushed the Arkansas Razorbacks for their sixth straight cover and their fifth straight SU victory last week. The Volunteers were 4-3 just a few weeks ago, but they are 4-5 now, and a loss in this one makes it really difficult to get to a bowl game. However, Neyland Stadium has been a house of nightmares for opponents this year. Remember that Georgia was forced into overtime and South Carolina was already beaten in this stadium. Be very careful, Auburn. This game smells of a trap for a Top 10 team.
Virginia Tech Hokies (6-3 SU, 3-4-2 ATS) @ #11 Miami Hurricanes (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Miami -7, Total: 45.5
Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL – Saturday, November 9th, 7:00 ET
The Hurricanes saw their chances at winning the National Championship go up in flames last week when they were beaten by Florida State, but they can earn the right to get another shot at the Noles in the ACC Championship Game by winning on Saturday night at home against V-Tech. The Hokies will take the upper hand with a win in this one in the ACC Coastal Division though, which makes this game all the more important. For as much as the Canes slid last week in Tallahassee, including losing RB Duke Johnson for the rest of the season with a broken ankle, Virginia Tech has quietly fallen out of the Top 25 with two straight defeats. The Hokies were favored in both games by relatively comfortable margins, so losing the two duels seemed to be a shock. Again, all can be forgiven with an upset in this one. Miami has covered two straight games in this series, but the Hokies had covered five straight prior to that.
Kansas Jayhawks (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) @ #14 Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Oklahoma State -31, Total: 56.5
Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK – Saturday, November 9th, 4:00 ET
Oklahoma State is one of these forgotten teams, but it is definitely in the midst of the BCS talk. It only has one loss, and that one came against a West Virginia team that has turned out to be a lot better than most would have thought. That doesn’t mean that the Cowboys are legitimate National Championship contenders, but after beating Texas Tech up last week on the road, the argument could be made that this is a team that has figured out how to get back on track. Winning out wins the Big XII title, and that would be sweet for a team that has had all sorts of off the field issues this year. Kansas isn’t a team that is capable of putting up much of a fight in all likelihood. However, the club is 3-1 ATS in its last four games, each of which have come as underdogs of at least three touchdowns.
Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) @ #15 Texas A&M Aggies (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS)
Spread: Texas A&M -19, Total: 68.5
Kyle Field, College Station, TX – Saturday, November 9th, 3:30 ET
The Aggies really ripped Mississippi State last year, putting together a 38-13 victory in Starkville in November in one of the games that really got them going towards the Cotton Bowl. They can really do the same this year in the second weekend of November, but this time, the goal is the BCS. There’s no reason to think that this team won’t be in the BCS if these last three games of the regular season are won, though a trip to the Bayou against LSU still looms after this one is finished. Mississippi State needs to split its last four games of the year to reach a bowl game, and that’s going to be a particularly tough task, knowing that this is the first game of the bunch. The Bulldogs have had nothing going offensively, managing no more than 28 points against any team outside of Troy and Alcorn State.
#16 Fresno State Bulldogs (8-0 SU, 2-6 ATS) @ Wyoming Cowboys (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Fresno State -10, Total: 74
War Memorial Stadium, Laramie, WY – Saturday, November 9th, 10:15 ET
This is the game which we have circled as a very dangerous one for the Bulldogs. They’re going all the way to War Memorial Stadium, where teams have trouble all the time. They’re also still just a 2-6 ATS team which continues to fail in terms of covering point spreads. QB Derek Carr and the gang haven’t had it easy to get to 8-0 this year, and finishing off this perfect season isn’t going to be very easy. Wyoming can score and score points in bunches. Don’t believe us? Just ask San Jose State what can happen against these Cowboys. Wyoming doesn’t play a lick of defense, and that might end up being its demise in this one, but if it can get into the 30s offensively, as it has done six times in eight games this year, our prospective BCS buster could be, well – busted. Wyoming is a relatively modest 3-2 ATS in the last five games in this series, but that dates back to 1995.
#19 UCLA Bruins (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) @ Arizona Wildcats (6-2 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)
Spread: UCLA -1, Total: 59.5
Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ – Saturday, November 9th, 10:00 ET
The Wildcats aren’t ranked in the Top 25 in the country, but perhaps they should be. When you compare their resume with that of UCLA, you would be hard-pressed to figure which is which. Neither team really has a win on the docket that makes you believe that it can win the Pac-12. Both teams though, have impressive offenses which could ultimately do a lot of damage, and both rely on their quarterbacks to get the job done with their legs as well as their arm. The winner of this one is likely going to essentially eliminate the loser in the Pac-12 South race, though things are still wide open in this division. Last year, the Bruins clocked Arizona 66-10 in a game in which the former really ran up the score, but prior to that, the Wildcats had won and covered five games in a row in this series.
#20 Louisville Cardinals (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) @ Connecticut Huskies (0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS)
Spread: Louisville -28, Total: 51.5
Rentschler Field, Storrs, CT – Friday, November 8th, 8:30 ET
The Huskies have yet to win a game this year, and it really isn’t all that like that this week’s game is going to change any of that whatsoever. They are going to end up playing what certainly amounts to be the best team in the conference in Louisville, though the Cardinals know that they have already blown their chance to win the AAC in their one and only year in the conference before leaving for the ACC. UConn did win this game last season on the road at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium, and it is 4-2 ATS in this series since 2007. However, this is a much different situation, and this is as big of a spread as there has been in this series since 2006 when the Cards were -29 and won by 31.
Houston Cougars (7-1 SU, 7-1 ATS) @ #21 UCF Knights (6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS)
Spread: UCF -10, Total: 63.5
Bright House Networks Stadium, Orlando, FL – Saturday, November 9th, 7:00 ET
The Knights think that they are the ones controlling their own destiny at this point in the AAC, but they aren’t the only ones. Houston has yet to lose a game in conference play either, and the winner of this game is going to have a massive leg up in the chase to get to either the Orange Bowl or the Sugar Bowl. These two teams are a combined 13-2 ATS this season, though Houston’s loss came last week against South Florida in a 35-23 win as a 19-point favorite. UCF’s offense came to play two weeks ago, scoring 62 points against UConn in its first AAC home game in team history. This is only the fourth home game of the season, and the crowd at Bright House Networks Stadium is going to be rocking and rolling. These two teams know all about each other thanks to their time in Conference USA together. The Knights are 3-1 SU and ATS in the four all-time meeting between these two squads.
#22 Arizona State Sun Devils (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) @ Utah Utes (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Arizona State -7, Total: 65
Rice Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT – Saturday, November 9th, 4:00 ET
The Sun Devils are back in the Top 25 this year, but they are only 1-2 when playing away from the desert thus far this season. However, the good news for ASU is that it has scored at least 53 points in three straight games. Dating back to the bowl game last year that it played, the team has scored at least 28 points in nine straight game. It seems like a duh statement, but when scoring 53 or more points, the Sun Devils are 5-0 ATS. They’re actually 0-3 ATS when they don’t though, and that’s what is really notable. The Utes fell apart offensively two weeks ago against USC, and they needed a bye week here more than any other team in the country. Utah has only won once since September 21st, and that win was the one against Stanford that made all of us believe that this was a lot better team than it probably actually is. Arizona State has covered three games in a row in this series.
#23 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-2 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) @ Pittsburgh Panthers (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Spread: Notre Dame -5.5, Total: 48
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA – Saturday, November 9th, 8:00 ET
Notre Dame and Pittsburgh have what is becoming a storied rivalry, and it is essentially going to become a conference rivalry next season when the Irish become de facto members of the ACC. The Golden Domers are quietly getting back into the BCS picture, and if they find a way to win out, they might have a real chance to get into the Top 14, which would guarantee them a spot in likely the Orange Bowl or the Rose Bowl, depending upon whether Florida State or Oregon ends up in the National Championship Game. Pittsburgh has a lot on the line right now, as it needs to go 2-2 in its last four games just to ensure that it ultimately makes it to a bowl game. The Panthers nearly shocked the Irish last year, losing 29-26 in overtime. In fact, the team is 2-0-1 ATS in spite of the fact that it is 0-3 SU in its last three games against Notre Dame. The underdog team is 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight games in this series.
BYU Cougars (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) @ #24 Wisconsin Badgers (6-2 SU, 7-0-1 ATS)
Spread: Wisconsin -7.5, Total: 55
Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI – Saturday, November 9th, 3:30 ET
The Badgers are playing really good football right now, and they are covering point spreads left and right. They’re amazingly 7-0-1 ATS since the Rose Bowl last season, and that might continue in this one against a BYU team that is still holding onto slight hopes for the BCS. Winning out would be the formula for the Cougs, and it really isn’t totally out of the question in spite of the fact that they are dogs in this game. Wisky really hasn’t seen much of anyone like QB Taysom Hill, who has led his team to five wins in a row after losing to Utah back in September. The team is 4-1 ATS in those games, though this is a much different challenge on the road at Camp Randall, a place the likes of which this team hasn’t seen before.
Kansas State Wildcats (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) @ #25 Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS)
Spread: Texas Tech -2.5, Total: 60.5
Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX – Saturday, November 9th, 12:00 ET
The Red Raiders have dropped two games in a row after winning their first seven, and another loss in this one and they can kiss their Top 25 ranking goodbye. QB Baker Mayfield remains out of the lineup with a knee injury, and he isn’t likely to be in the fold again in this one. Kansas State has actually won two straight games and covered four straight games, and that really sets this up for a mild upset in this game. These last two seasons, the Cats dominated against the Red Raiders. However, prior to that, T-Tech had covered six games in a row against the Wildcats, including putting up seven straight games against Kansas State with more than 400 yards of offense.
is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.
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