Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2013 NCAA football betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 5!
#21 Ole Miss Rebels (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ #1 Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Alabama -17, Total: 60
Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL – Saturday, September 28th, 6:30 ET
Could this be the game that Alabama slips up in? Remember last year, a very similar Texas A&M team came to Tuscaloosa and beat the Crimson Tide in the dying plays of the game. Ole Miss could play that role this year, and if that were to turn out to be the case, QB Bo Wallace would be the man that would be becoming a star and a Heisman Trophy candidate. Wallace and the Rebs are 3-0 this year, though this is clearly a brutal stretch that they are in the midst of, including this trip to Bryant Denny. The last four trips to Tuscaloosa have all been bittersweet for Ole Miss. The team has lost all four games, but it has covered all four as well, including losing in OT in 2006, losing by just four in 2008, and losing by just 13 in 2010 in what turned out to be a great game. This is a dangerous one for an Alabama outfit that doesn’t necessarily look the role of the best team in the country thus far.
California Golden Bears (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) @ #2 Oregon Ducks (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Spread: Oregon -37, Total: 83
Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR – Saturday, September 28th, 10:30 ET
This game opened up with the highest ‘total’ that we have ever seen at 85, and that number has trickled down just a bit to 83. It’s all justified, though. Oregon has averaged running 72.0 plays per game this year, and we know that it has the potential to do a heck of a lot more if it is prompted to do so. Cal though, running the Head Coach Sonny Dykes run and gun, is averaging 93.3 plays per game on the season. QB Jared Goff is going to be in for a fun time in this one, and the possibility is definitely there that he could put 30 on the board… Of course, the possibility is there that Cal could score 30 and get covered by two touchdowns as well. If there is a game in major college football this year that is going to feature a team scoring 100 points, here’s the game that it will happen in. Oregon has won the last two games in this series by 42 and 28 points, easily covering both point spreads.
#24 Wisconsin Badgers (3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS) @ #3 Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Spread: Ohio State -7.5, Total: 54.5
Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH – Saturday, September 28th, 8:00 ET
QB Braxton Miller has been cleared to play in this game, and the timing couldn’t be much better. This is one of the rare games that is seen to be a potential slip for the Bucks before the end of the season, though we really aren’t all that sure that’s the case. Wisconsin might be a 4-0 ATS team and a 3-1 SU team, but we just don’t see this being one of the best 25 teams in the land right now, especially if QB Joel Stave isn’t going to be able to put the ball in the air. Ohio State has covered five of the last six in this series, and the last time the Badgers won a game in Columbus was back in 2004. The Buckeyes have covered seven straight games following an SU victory, and this figures to be another one of these games with tremendous potential for the hosts.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) @ #4 Clemson Tigers (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Clemson -28.5, Total: 60
Clemson Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC – Saturday, September 28th, 3:30 ET
Clemson survived its first game that it had no business being challenged in, but it didn’t cover the spread against NC State on the road on Thursday. This is a long week of prep, and it comes against another one of these teams that the Tigers should have no problems with. Wake Forest is 2-2 this year, but it hasn’t had a game this season in which it has really looked like a team capable of beating much of anyone in the ACC of note. Clemson has won four straight games in this series, and it is a healthy 3-1 ATS in those four games. The Demon Deacons snapped a streak of six straight failed covers last week when they went on the road and knocked off Army in West Point, but this isn’t going to be nearly the same type of game, as it is the most difficult of the year to date for QB Tanner Price and the gang.
#5 Stanford Cardinal (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ Washington State Cougars (3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS)
Spread: Stanford -10, Total: 51.5
Martin Stadium, Pullman, WA – Saturday, September 28th, 7:00 ET
Stanford wasn’t getting much respect last week after failing to cover its first two games of the season against suspect teams. The Cardinal answered by beating up Arizona State by two touchdowns, and they have the opportunity in this one to do some more damage against a relatively soft number. However, Wazzu definitely looks the role of a much better team this year under Head Coach Mike Leach, and there is a real chance to get to a bowl game. The Cougars are already 3-1, and they are on the verge of the Top 25 in the land and probably will make it if they can win this game. Stanford only won this game by a TD last year as 25-point favorites, but it is 3-2 ATS in its last five games in this series, all of which have been SU victories.
#6 LSU Tigers (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS) @ #10 Georgia Bulldogs (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Georgia -3, Total: 63
Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA – Saturday, September 28th, 3:30 ET
This is the best game of the day for sure, as it is one of the rare games this season that pits Top 10 teams against each other. The Bayou Bengals have surged all the way up to the verge of the Top 5, and they can really take a major step up if they can win this game in Athens. Georgia knows that its season is on the line, as a loss in this one, and any hopes for a National Championship are said and done with. You know that this is a big one for QB Zach Mettenberger, who started off at Georgia before finding himself as a much-maligned quarterback in the Bayou. LSU has won and covered back to back games in this series, including dominating a 42-10 game in the SEC Championship Game two years ago.
#8 Florida State Seminoles (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) @ Boston College Eagles (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Florida State -21.5, Total: 52
Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, MA – Saturday, September 28th, 3:30 ET
Boston College does have a pair of wins this year, but beating Villanova and Wake Forest isn’t nearly going to be good enough to make anyone think that it can beat Florida State, even here in Chestnut Hill. QB Chase Rettig has had no luck whatsoever against the best teams in the ACC in his career, and this will probably be no different. FSU continues to dominate teams, and the lore of QB Jameis Winston is growing and growing by the game. Winston continues to be one of the best stories thus far in the country, and a win in this one would only help matters. The last two seasons of games between these two haven’t been all that close. The Seminoles won 51-7 last season and 38-7 the year before. The Noles have outscored their foes by a 157-26 margin thus far this season.
#9 Texas A&M Aggies (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) @ Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Spread: Texas A&M -13, Total: Off
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR – Saturday, September 28th, 7:00 ET
QB Brandon Allen missed last week’s game with a shoulder injury, and he is still very up in the air for this rivalry game against the Aggies as well. That’s why this one is off the board as of Monday night. The Aggies are missing WR Ryan Seals-Jones, one of their top targets. A&M has now rolled off at least 41 points in seven straight games, and the only team to hold this club below 38 points since October 20th against LSU is Alabama (and that game was won against the Tide in Tuscaloosa). This is a rivalry game that has been owned by the Hogs in the past, as they have gone 7-1 ATS and 5-3 SU in the last eight games in this series, but one of those losses was last year in College Station. Texas A&M won 58-10 last season, and QB Johnny Manziel and the gang put up 716 yards of offense in the win.
#11 Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ West Virginia Mountaineers (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Spread: Oklahoma State -18.5, Total: 59.5
Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV – Saturday, September 28th, 12:00 ET
A few years ago, this would have been a heck of a shootout between two teams that can score points in bunches. However, West Virginia has a ton of problems right now on the offensive side of the ball, including getting shut out last week by Maryland on the road. The Mountaineers really have a quarterback problem right now that QB Geno Smith is gone, and neither QB Ford Childress nor QB Paul Millard have looked good at all. Okie State is going to continue to score points in bunches though, as demonstrated by the fact that it has 56 and 59 points over the course of the last two games after scoring just 21 against Mississippi State in the opener. Last year was the first time that these two played against each other as conference foes, with the Cowboys posting a 55-34 victory in a game that featured just under 1,000 yards of total offense.
#12 Oklahoma Sooners (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ #20 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-1 SU, 0-3-1 ATS)
Spread: Oklahoma -3.5, Total: 48.5
Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN – Saturday, September 28th, 3:30 ET
Last season in Norman, Notre Dame was a big time 10.5-point underdog. Little did we know that that 30-13 win for the Golden Domers would be propelling them to the National Championship Game, and little did we know that the Sooners were ultimately going to get trashed in the Cotton Bowl by Texas A&M two months later. Head Coach Bob Stoops has got to let QB Blake Bell continue to run the offense after he dropped 51 points on Tulsa two weeks ago. The Sooners had only scored a total of 50 points in their first two games combined with QB Trevor Knight calling the shots. This Notre Dame team hasn’t looked good thus far this year, barely managing a pair of wins against Big Ten teams in the last two weeks. This is a tough one for both sides though, knowing that it is also the first road game for the Sooners thus far this year. This team wasn’t a great road team last year, and that was before turning the ball over this season to guys who have never played in big time games like this one.
#13 South Carolina Gamecocks (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ UCF Knights (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Spread: South Carolina -7.5, Total: 53
Bright House Networks Stadium, Orlando, FL – Saturday, September 28th, 12:00 ET
Is this the biggest football game ever to be played in the city of Orlando? That’s how this one is being billed for sure in the Sunshine State. South Carolina is definitely on upset alert for sure, knowing that it is going against a team from the AAC that is trying to gain footing into the Top 25 and perhaps into the BCS picture as well. If you haven’t heard of the name QB Blake Bortles, you should definitely learn it, as this is a man that can throw the ball all over the field with all sorts of accuracy. If the Gamecocks don’t plan on scoring more than 20 or so in this one, they could absolutely be beaten. UCF is a live dog. The Knights have taken on South Carolina twice in their history as an FBS team, and in both cases, they were able to cover the number, though they haven’t pulled off the upset yet.
#15 Miami Hurricanes (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ South Florida Bulls (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Miami -18.5, Total: 48.5
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL – Saturday, September 28th, 12:00 ET
There aren’t many first year coaches that end up losing their jobs right away, but Head Coach Tommy Taggart might be one of them. The Bulls are 0-3 SU and are lucky to be 1-2 ATS at this point. They have scored just 37 points in three games this year, and 21 of those came in a loss against McNeese State. There is a point that USF is going to have to score some points and win a big time game if Taggart is going to save his job, and this would be a game that makes it all better. However, Miami is a 3-0 team, and it is really rolling. This isn’t a game against Savannah State, though it certainly won’t be as hard as the win against UF either. These two have met in the last four seasons, with Miami going 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four years.
#19 Florida Gators (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) @ Kentucky Wildcats (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Florida -13, Total: 45.5
Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY – Saturday, September 28th, 7:00 ET
The Gators are going to be in a lot of trouble right now. QB Jeff Driskel is done for the season, and QB Tyler Murphy is going to be taking over as a bit of an option quarterback. It is clear that every game will become a challenge, especially on the road. Head Coach Mark Stoops has to know that this is a chance to stamp himself in his first year in Lexington. This would be a signature win for sure, knowing that UK hasn’t won a game in this series since 1979. UF has now covered six straight games as well, and it has won these last five games by at least 34 points. Even a remotely competitive game is going to be huge for the Wildcats and their future as a potential team in the SEC East that could be reckoned with down the line.
Arizona Wildcats (3-0 SU, 2-0-1 ATS) @ #20 Washington Huskies (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Washington -8, Total: 64.5
Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA – Saturday, September 28th, 7:00 ET
The Pac-12 is going to be tough this year, and this is just one of the many games to watch out for. None of these teams really have the ability to win the National Championship as we see it, but these clubs can all contend for the Rose Bowl when push comes to shove if they can go on a roll. Washington and Arizona are both polarizing teams. You either love them or hate them. So far this year, we haven’t seen either of these clubs play against anyone huge, though we do know that the win for U-Dub against Boise State was a big one to start off the season. QB Keith Price was horrid last year in this game, and the end result was a 52-17 loss against the U of A. The home team has won and covered five straight games in this series.
#23 Fresno State Bulldogs (3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS) @ Hawaii Warriors (0-3 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Fresno State -18.5, Total: 58
Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, HI – Saturday, September 28th, 12:00 ET
Here come the Bulldogs. They managed to come all the way back to beat Boise State last week, and they are now facing relatively clear sailing for a little ways. There’s a real chance that this team could ultimately be in the BCS. This isn’t your average trip to Hawaii by any stretch of the imagination, knowing that this would be a devastating blow if it was a lost game. Hawaii has yet to win a game this year, but we know that Head Coach Norm Chow has this team going in the right direction. He’s going to need some wins to save his job over the course of the season for sure. The team had covered five straight games before losing to Nevada last week. Fresno State has covered and won three of the last four in this series, including winning by 35 points last year at Bulldog Stadium.
Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.
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