College Football Pick of the Week 3
Date/Time: September 14th, 3:30 PM ET
College Football Betting Odds from WagerWeb
Spread: Georgia Tech -8.5
Here at Bang the Book, we are always keeping our eyes open for the best games to bet on each and every week. Of all of the games on the Week 3 docket, the one we are zeroing in on is the game where the Duke Blue Devils host the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, September 14th.
We’ve gone with the Toledo Rockets the last two weeks and have been successful for our best bets, and we are going to be drifting away from that this week when we go after an ACC game with a favorable matchup. The Blue Devils and the Yellow Jackets are both ACC Coastal teams, and both squads have played absolutely no one over the course of the first two weeks of the season. Georgia Tech rolled over the Elon Phoenix 70-0, while Duke crushed the North Carolina Central Eagles and the Memphis Tigers.
You might not think that we have enough information to really want to bet this game, but we believe that we have the history on our side to pick a winner.
We give Head Coach David Cutcliffe all of the credit in the world for taking his team to a bowl game last year. However, when you really look back at what the Blue Devils accomplished, you have to just shake your head and wonder why they were in a bowl game, while the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs were not. The Blue Devils did beat the North Carolina Tar Heels and Virginia Cavaliers, but they only went 2-7 SU and ATS last year against teams that were good enough to qualify for the postseason had they been eligible to do so. Only the Cavaliers didn’t put up at least 30 points against this defense, and the average game against teams that finished at least .500 was 42.7 points per game.
In fact, if you go back one more season, the Blue Devils are 2-14 SU against teams that finished the season .500 or better, and though the ATS record is slightly better than it was before, it’s still just 5-11 ATS in those 16 games.
Now, if we take a closer look at the history of the Blue Devils, we’ll see just how much this team has struggled particularly against the Yellow Jackets. Since 2008 when Head Coach Paul Johnson reached Atlanta, he and his Ramblin’ Wreck have outscored the Dookies by an aggregate score of 186-85, or roughly an average final score of 37-17. In four of those five games, G-Tech has racked up over 300 rushing yards, and in each of those games, at least 410 yards of total offense have been allowed.
Here’s the question: Is the Georgia Tech offense with QB Vad Lee running the show as good as it was when QB Tevin Washington was there? If the game two weeks ago against Elon was any indication, it surely is. However, even if you want to go back to the end of last season when Lee was forced into action when Washington got hurt, the then freshman put up 68 against North Carolina and 42 against these Blue Devils.
Georgia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games, and it is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 overall dating back to last year. The real key has been play early in the season. The Yellow Jackets are now 6-0 ATS in their last six games that are played in the first three weeks of the season.
This Georgia Tech team had a week off to prepare for this game, and it has all of the history on its side. Though we are a bit worried about this one being on the road, we know that the home field advantage at Wallace Wade Stadium isn’t the best on the planet. We’re going to see this all pan out on Saturday, as the Ramblin’ Wreck get rolling early and never look back. We’re calling for at least a three-touchdown victory in this one for the visitors.
Week 3 College Football Pick of the Week: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -8.5