College Football Week 3 System Picks
One thing college football bettors need to constantly remind themselves is that the game is played by young men between the ages of 18 and 22. As a result, the ups-and-downs of a college football team are much greater than with their professional counterparts and momentum, either positive or negative, tends to carry forward to a larger extent than it does in the NFL.
This has become evident in regards to opening-week victories, followed by an off week. Teams that won their first-week contest and then had a bye week have responded with a 122-87-3 (58.4%) record over the years in their next game.
Having a bye week so early in the season may not seem to be ideal, but there are definitely occasions when it appears at the right time, such as Saturday’s game between Alabama and Texas A & M. Not only are the Crimson Tide coming off a bye week, it’s also a huge revenge game for Nick Saban’s squad, who dropped a 29-24 decision to the Aggies last season. Saban’s teams are 7-1 both straight-up and ATS in revenge situations since he took over the top spot in Tuscaloosa.
Florida State, Georgia Tech, Washington, UCLA and Northern Illinois also fall into the category of having had a week off after an opening-week victory.
On the other side of the equation, Iowa State hosts rival Iowa after opening the season with a loss to a very average Northern Iowa squad, followed by a bye week. The Hawkeyes figure to be in foul mood when they see their interstate rivals after dropping two consecutive three-point decisions to the Cyclones, both times as favorites. If history repeats itself, the Hawkeyes will walk away with the win and the cover.
Likewise, Connecticut will have a contest with revenge-minded Maryland after the Huskies came away with a 24-21 victory last season. The Huskies began the season with a horrible 33-18 loss to Towson State, a game in which they were favored by 17 points, and then had a week to dwell on their lackluster effort.
Rice dropped a 52-31 decision to Texas A & M to begin the season and followed that up with a bye week. Now the Owls host a Kansas team that they defeated 25-24 on a last-second field goal last season.
Pittsburgh, which fell to Florida State in its opening game, is the final remaining team that falls into the negative category this week.
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