College Football Week 7 Betting Review
Despite a couple of upsets ranked teams fared well again in week 7 college football betting action. Which seems to indicate that the cream of this year’s crop may be separating itself from the rest of the field.
As a group, teams ranked in the USA Today’s Top 25 made money over the weekend playing unranked teams, going 11-2 straight-up and 8-5 against the pointspreads. So on the season ranked teams have won 102 of 115 games SU vs. unranked opponents, and are 63-49-3 ATS, a 56% winning percentage.
In games that matched two ranked teams over the weekend, the higher-ranked squads won three of four games outright and went 2-1-1 ATS. No. 19 Michigan State beat an overrated No. 10 Michigan, but No. 23 Texas A&M won and covered vs. No. 24 Baylor, No. 7 Oklahoma State won and covered at No. 21 Texas, and No. 9 Oregon won and pushed the spread vs. No. 20 Arizona State.
This Saturday gives us three more matchups of ranked teams. As of Monday morning 5Dimes.com is listing No. 2 LSU as a 22.5-point home favorite over No. 23 Auburn; No. 7 Stanford is favored by 20 points at home over No. 24 Washington; and in a big game in the Big Ten No. 4 Wisconsin is lined as 7.5-point road chalk at No. 13 Michigan State.
The biggest upsets of the week happened in the unpredictable MAC. Saturday Ball State won at Ohio as a 14.5-point underdog, and Eastern Michigan won at Central Michigan getting 11 points. Elsewhere, Virginia pulled the upset at home vs. Georgia Tech getting 7.5 points; Connecticut, also at +7.5, beat South Florida; Louisiana-Monroe trounced Troy as a seven-point dog; and Thursday night San Diego State won outright at Air Force also as seven-points dogs.
For this week 5Dimes is listing Eastern Michigan at +13.5 at home vs. Western Michigan; Ball State at -2.5 at home vs. Central Michigan; Virginia at -6 over North Carolina State; and UL-Monroe at -4.5 at North Texas.
Teams that pulled what we called the biggest upsets of week 6 went just 1-3 ATS in week 7.
College totals tilted towards the unders over the weekend, as adjustments by the linesmakers worked to even things out a bit. Of the 50 week 7 FBS games 28 played under the totals, 20 went over and two pushed. And of the 10 highest totals on the board five stayed under and one pushed. Notably, Texas A&M and Baylor teamed up to play over 75.5 while Oklahoma and Kansas went under 71.
By our unofficial count ESPN Gameday’s crew didn’t help anybody, again, in picking pointspreads winners over the weekend. Misters Corso and Herbstreit don’t make ATS picks overtly, but they know what the spreads are, and who their audience is. By our tally those two combined to go 6-9 ATS Saturday.
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