College Football Week 9 Betting Review
Two more unbeatens bit the dust in week 9 college football betting action, leaving us with six perfect teams. And two of those hook up in a huge game this Saturday. Here’s a quick look back at what happened over this past college football weekend, and what it might mean for this week.
Four teams ranked in the USA Today’s top 25 went down to defeat at the hands of unranked opponents over the weekend. Previously unbeaten No. 6 Clemson lost at Georgia Tech; No. 11 Wisconsin lost at Ohio State on another late-game defensive lapse; No. 16 Texas A&M got beat in overtime by Missouri; and No. 22 Texas Tech, coming off its shocking victory at Oklahoma, suffered a severe letdown and got clocked at home by Iowa State.
So on the season ranked teams are now 127-21 straight-up vs. unranked teams, and 79-65 (55%) vs. the pointspreads.
In the two week 9 games that matched ranked teams No. 9 Oklahoma brushed off the early upset attempt of another previous unbeaten, No. 12 Kansas State, and ran up a 58-17 rout; and No. 13 Nebraska knocked off No. 10 Michigan State 24-3.
So on the year, in games involving two ranked teams, the higher-ranked squads are now 19-9 SU and 18-8, excluding pushes, ATS (69%).
Week 10 provides us with three more games matching ranked teams. As of Monday morning BetOnline.com is listing No. 4 Oklahoma State at -21 over No. 19 Kansas State; No. 8 Arkansas is favored by four points over No. 10 South Carolina; and in the biggest game of the year so far No. 2 Alabama is listed at -4.5 at home over No. 1 LSU.
The biggest pointspread upset of the weekend took place in San Diego when the Wyoming Cowboys, getting 19 points, beat San Diego State 30-27. Elsewhere on the week 9 upset list Iowa State, as mentioned above, toppled Texas Tech 41-7 as 16-point underdogs; Minnesota, as 15-point home dogs, shocked Iowa 22-21; Virginia, getting 13.5 points Thursday night at Miami, beat the Hurricanes 28-21; and Missouri, as 10.5-point underdogs, won at Texas A&M 38-31 in overtime.
In a classic example of the up-and-down tendencies prevalent in college football, the eight teams that pulled the biggest pointspread upsets of week 8 combined to go 1-6-1 ATS in week 9 betting action.
For week 10 BetOnline is listing Wyoming at +19 at home vs. TCU; Iowa State at -15 over Kansas; Minnesota at +28 at Michigan State; Virginia at -2 at Maryland; and Missouri at a pick ‘em at Baylor.
Finally, college football totals leaned toward the overs on the weekend, going 28-24-1. And the games with the highest over/unders lived up to their postings. Of the 11 games totaled at 60 or more, seven of them played over their numbers. And in the highest totaled game we can recall, Oklahoma State and Baylor pushed 83, as the Bears scored three touchdowns in garbage time.