College Football Week 9 System Picks
It’s been a rough month for the Washington Huskies, who entered October sporting a 4-0 record and were ranked in the top 25. Now, the Huskies stand at 4-3 and after having given Stanford everything it wanted in a 31-28 loss, have been on the losing end of blowouts to Oregon and Arizona State.
After having been bullied around the past few weeks, Washington has to be looking forward to this week’s match-up with the California Bears, who have been getting pummeled all season. California sits at 1-6 straight-up and is 0-7 against the spread this year.
Washington also falls into a nice 142-104-4 (58.4%) situation that says to take any favorite of more than 20 points that is coming off a 20-point or more loss. The system is 9-3-1 so far this year, but dropped its last play when Arkansas State defeated Idaho 48-24 as 26.5-point favorites two weeks ago.
Several teams saw their BCS hopes go up in flames last week and for some, it’s difficult to get up for their next game. This is especially true if the team in question is an underdog. Since the beginning of the 2008 season, teams that lose their first game of the season in October are just 19-43-3 (30.6%) in their next game if they are an underdog. The two teams that fall into this situation are UCLA and Houston.
The Bruins were shut down by Stanford’s defense last week, now will play at the opposite end of the spectrum, as they visit the Oregon Ducks in Eugene. After Florida State jumped past Oregon in the polls, expect the Ducks to try and run up the score as much as possible in this one.
Houston was quietly undefeated before dropping a heart-breaking 47-46 decision to BYU last week and now plays a Rutgers team that has had an extra week to prepare for the game and the Scarlet Knights are 9-2 against the spread at home coming off a bye in their last 11 opportunities.
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