Colorado at San Diego Preview 4/17/08

MLB Betting Preview
Colorado at San Diego
Thursday, 10:05 pm Eastern

SBG Global Opening Line: Padres  - 157, Total  7 Over -120

The Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres conclude a three-game set on Thursday evening at Petco Park.  Jake Peavy gets the start for the Padres while Jeff Francis goes for the Rockies.  Peavy is already in mid-season form with an ERA of 1.64 and a 3-0 record. Francis has struggled so far going 0-2 with a 9.53 ERA. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Padres at Home.


Francis is happy to not be facing the Diamondbacks who throttled him in both of his starts this season. He wasn’t much better against the Padres last year going 1-3 with a 6.61 ERA against them in five starts. Peavy allowed seven hits and two runs over the first three innings, but just one run on two hits over the last three innings in his last start against the Dodgers.  This is Peavy’s first time facing the Rockies since last year’s Wild Card play-in game.

 

Colorado is struggling to score runs and that doesn’t look to improve on Thursday against Peavy and the Padres.  This series is a rematch of last year’s Wild Card game that has very bad memories for San Diego.  The loss to Colorado in that game cost the Padres as chance at glory.  Colorado won 9-8 in 13 innings in that game and went on to the World Series where they lost to Boston.  “It was definitely amazing,” Rockies catcher Yorvit Torrealba said. “Twenty years from now I’m still going to remember that game.” If Colorado has not won that game they would never have had the subsequent success that ended in the World Series. “That was an unreal game, something I’ll always remember,” said Rockies shortstop Troy Tulowitzki, “It was cool for baseball fans to be able to watch that game.”

SBG Global Current Line: Padres  - 166, Total 7 Over -120

 

Both Colorado and San Diego are looking up at Arizona in the National League West this season as the Diamondbacks picked up right where they left off last year.  Both teams have similar rosters to what they had last season although each made some minor changes.  The Rockies did lose second baseman Kaz Matsui who went to Houston while the Padres signed Jim Edmonds to replace Mike Cameron in center and added second baseman Tadahito Iguchi. The Rockies now have Mark Redman and Franklin Morales in the rotation while the Padres picked up Randy Wolf to bolster the rotation.

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Thursday’s game.  The Rockies are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. the National League West. The Rockies are 5-12 in their last 17 overall. The Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. The Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Rockies are 11-4 in Francis’ last 15 starts as an underdog. The Rockies are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the two teams. The Rockies are 3-8 in Francis’ last 11 starts vs. the Padres. The Rockies are 1-4 in Francis’ last 5 road starts vs. the Padres.

 

The Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home favorite. The Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 Thursday games. The Padres are 18-8 in their last 26 home games. The Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Padres are 5-1 in Peavy’s last 6 home starts. The Padres are 4-1 in Peavy’s last 5 Thursday starts. The Padres are 42-19 in Peavy’s last 61 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Padres are 35-16 in Peavy’s last 51 starts vs. the National League West. The Padres are 45-22 in Peavy’s last 67 starts as a home favorite. The Padres are 1-4 in Peavy’s last 5 starts vs. the Rockies.

 

The Over is 4-1 in the Rockies last 5 overall. The Over is 4-1 in the Rockies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 4-1 in the Rockies last 5 on grass. The Over is 6-2 in Francis’ last 8 Thursday starts. The Over is 7-3-2 in Francis’ last 12 road starts. The Under is 24-11-4 in Francis’ last 39 starts as an underdog. The Over is 5-1-1 in Francis’ last 7 starts vs. the Padres.

 

The Under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 games as a home favorite. The Over is 5-1-1 in the Padres last 7 Thursday games. The Under is 5-1 in the Padres last 6 games as a favorite. The Over is 8-2 in the Padres last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Under is 4-1 in the Padres last 5 home games. The Over is 21-7-1 in the Padres last 29 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 17-5-2 in Peavy’s last 24 Thursday starts. The Under is 19-7-2 in Peavy’s last 28 starts as a home favorite. The Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in San Diego.

 

Take the Padres and lay the wood 2units