Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors Game 3 Pick

SportsBookMatchup: Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors

Date/Time: April 26, 2013 10:30 pm EST

Television: ESPN2

NBA Odds from Sportsbook.AG

Odds: Warriors -1

Total: 212.5

 

The shooting clinic that the Golden State Warriors put on in their win on Tuesday night in Denver was second to none. Golden State shot 65% from the floor as they rolled to an impressive 131-117 win over the Denver Nuggets. That win broke the Nuggets 24 game home winning streak and gave the Warriors home court advantage through the rest of this series. Can the Warriors hold serve at home?

Game Overview:

Denver had a chance to take a commanding 2-0 lead in the series, but their defense was non-existent in Game Two. Golden State obviously shot the ball very well, but a team can’t shoot 65 percent without some bad defense mixed in there as well. George Karl’s team has been so good this year mainly because they have improved immensely on the defensive end, so they’ll need to find that newfound improved defense in this one if they are going to get back on track in their quest to get past round one.

Andre Miller has emerged as a major play maker and scorer for the team in this series. That has to be considered a pretty big surprise since Miller only averaged 9 points per game during the regular season. In fact, Miller may be in the starting lineup in Friday night’s game. Denver has been forced to go smaller to match up with Golden State now that the Warriors have changed their lineup with David Lee out with an injury. Kenneth Faried is playing on a bad ankle right now, but the team needs his presence on the inside. Denver should be able to control the glass in this one.

Golden State set all kinds of records with their 65 percent shooting in the Game Two win. Klay Thompson got things started by knocking down several from long range early. Thompson finished with 21 points on 8 for 11 shooting from the floor. The Warriors had four guys score at least 21 points on Tuesday. Stephen Curry led the way with 30 points. Jarett Jack and Harrison Barnes were the other two guys who topped the 21 point mark. The Warriors were the best three-point shooting team in the league this year, but they have to know they can’t count on shooting it as well as they did in Game Two.

The Warriors have been a very resilient team so far this year. Golden State went through tough stretches where many believed they were about to turn into a mediocre team again, but they didn’t. What was the difference? Golden State bought into Jackson’s defensive system this year, and that made the team much more consistent. Golden State finished fourth in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. In the past few years, Golden State has been in the bottom third of the league in all defensive categories. This is definitely a team that is on the rise.

Free Pick: Golden State -1

This is really a tough game to call, but I’ll side with the home team here. Denver isn’t the same away from home, and they aren’t healthy right now. Golden State edges out a win here.

Golden State 107 Denver 104

Kyle Hunter

is full-timesports writer and sports handicapper. You simply won’t find someone who loves sports more than Kyle. Kyle considers college football and college basketball his two favorite sports. Kyle has earned many accolades for his highly successful handicapping, and he writes full-time for many top sports websites. Keep an eye out for high quality free sports analysis from Kyle!

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