ESPN Monday Baseball Pick: Los Angeles @ Texas

MLB Picks

Preview


Los Angeles Angels
vs.
Texas Rangers

Starting Pitchers: Santana (Angels) vs. Oswalt (Rangers)

Date/Time: July 30th, 7:05 P.M. EST

Television: ESPN

MLB Odds from BetDSI

Moneyline: Moneyline: Angels +135 Rangers -145

Total: 10.5 (Over -125)

BetDSI

 

MLB Betting Game Trends

Los Angeles Angels

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Angels’s last 16 games on the road
  • LA Angels are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road
  • LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Texas
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas

Texas Rangers

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Texas’s last 12 games at home
  • Texas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
  • Texas is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas’s last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels

 

Game Overview

The two teams that are going to figure to get into the playoffs at this point from the AL West are going to square off in MLB betting action on Monday night in Arlington, where the Texas Rangers will host the Los Angeles Angels.

The Halos went for broke when they shipped away some great prospects to get Zack Greinke from the Milwaukee Brewers. Now though, comes the real work. They are five games out from the Rangers of first place in the AL West, and they would only be in the playoffs right now by a single game if they were to start today. Plus, there is only one game guaranteed at that point, and that would come on the road at the Oakland Athletics for the right to get into the “main” portion of the postseason. Part of the reason that Greinke was acquired was to make sure that LA has an insurance policy for Ervin Santana. Of late, Santana has been atrocious. He has allowed a whopping 23 runs in his last four starts, and he has guided the team to five straight defeats. The righty is just 4-10 with an insane 6.00 ERA, and the remarkable part about the whole thing is that he has a complete game shutout in there to speak of as well. Against the Rangers, matters have been bad for Santana. He has a 5.82 career ERA in 25 starts against them, including when he conceded six runs in just 1.2 innings when these clubs met nine days ago.

This is going to be the first taste of the action against the Angels for Roy Oswalt in his career. The 34 year old has been fairly solid since coming up to the bigs for Texas, going 3-1 with a 5.22 ERA. Take out a bad start when he allowed 11 runs, nine of which were earned against the Chicago White Sox in an embarrassing 19-2 loss though, and he would have a sub-3.00 ERA. Command hasn’t been an issue for Oswalt, as he has 25 strikeouts against six walks. The rest of his splits are terrible with a 1.67 WHIP and a .344 batting average against, but in the end, we realize that a ton of that damage came in that one start, and for a man that has just 29.1 innings under his belt this year, matters are understandable. This is the type of game that Oswalt was brought to the Lone Star State to win though, and it is expected that he is going to do just that, especially with this being his fourth start at home of the season.

Prediction

The ball could be flying out of the Ballpark in Arlington tonight. The Angels definitely aren’t at a loss for runs right now, and Texas is always capable of lighting up the scoreboard. In the end, we do think that the Rangers are going to get the victory, but the more viable play in our eyes is the ‘over’ in what should amount to be a fun game to watch on the Mothership. Texas 8 – Los Angeles 6

Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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