ESPN Sunday Baseball Pick: Milwaukee @ St. Louis

MLB Picks

Preview


Milwaukee Brewers
vs.
St. Louis Cardinals

Starting Pitchers: Estrada (Brewers) vs. Lohse (Cardinals)

Date/Time: August 5th, 8:05 P.M. EST

Television: ESPN

MLB Odds from Bookmaker

Moneyline: Brewers +145 Cardinals -160

Total: 8.5 (Over -105)

 

MLB Betting Game Trends

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Milwaukee is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games on the road
  • Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games when playing St. Louis

St. Louis Cardinals

  • St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis’s last 15 games at home
  • St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • St. Louis is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Milwaukee
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

 

Game Overview

National League Central rivals meet up in the Gateway to the West on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball betting festivities, as the St. Louis Cardinals hope to improve their spot in the playoffs when they take on the Milwaukee Brewers.

The frustrating season for the Brewers just continues, as the team is now down to 48-58 and just 18-32 away from Miller Park. Marco Estrada has had a rough year in his own right, as he has started a dozen games and has six appearances in relief, yet he doesn’t have a victory on the campaign. The splits on Estrada certainly aren’t all that bad, as he has a 4.34 ERA and has 81 strikeouts against 15 walks in 74.2 innings of work. The righty is only allowing batters to hit .246 against him, and as a result, he has a WHIP of 1.13. These are the types of numbers that normally give a pitcher a rock solid record, but thanks to a heck of a lot of bad work and some bad outings by the bullpen, Estrada has yet to taste a victory in 2012.

The Redbirds are starting to creep a tad closer to the rest of the pack in the NL Central, as they are 2.5 games back of the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are in second place at the moment. It is clear that St. Louis is going to be making another run towards the playoffs, and if it can get there, we know that it is a dangerous squad that will absolutely never give up. The ball belongs to Kyle Lohse to get started on Sunday, and that’s a great thing for Manager Mike Matheny. His righty is 11-2 for the season, and he has a 2.91 ERA. Lohse hasn’t lost a game since June 15th, but his splits definitely need some work and suggest that he has been more lucky than good. Lohse has a 1.12 WHIP, and batters are hitting .250 against him. That’s 29 points lower than his career average and 86 points lower than his average was in 2010. Lohse only has 83 strikeouts for the season in 142.1 innings of work, though he does keep his walks down with just 24 free passes issued in the campaign.

Prediction

The Cardinals are absolutely the better team here, and we think that this is a good spot to back them once again. Sure, Lohse is due for a drop back to earth at some point, but St. Louis has the better bullpen and the better lineup, and Estrada just seems to be snake bitten. He could get his first win of the year if Lohse really struggles, but in the end, this seems like the end of a three-game sweep for the Cards. St. Louis 6 – Milwaukee 4

Adam Markowitz

Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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