ESPN Wednesday Baseball Pick: San Francisco @ St. Louis

MLB Picks

Preview


San Francisco Giants
vs.
St. Louis Cardinals

Starting Pitchers: Dempster (Giants) vs. Lester (Cardinals)

Date/Time: August 7th, 8:10 P.M. EST

Television: ESPN

MLB Odds from Bookmaker

Moneyline: Giants +115 Cardinals -125

Total: 8.5 (Over -115)

ESPN Wednesday Baseball Pick: San Francisco @ St. Louis
ESPN Wednesday Baseball Pick: San Francisco @ St. Louis

 

MLB Betting Game Trends

San Francisco Giants

  • San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Francisco’s last 17 games on the road
  • San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games when playing St. Louis

St. Louis Cardinals

  • St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis’s last 18 games at home
  • St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis’s last 6 games when playing San Francisco

 

Game Overview

The chase for the final few playoff spots in the National League is going to be hot and heavy over the course of the whole rest of the season, and two of the teams that are involved in that run are going to be meeting in MLB betting action on ESPN’s Wednesday Night Baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals will play host to the San Francisco Giants.

The G-Men are going to be involved, not just in the Wild Card hunt, but in the hunt for the NL West title as well. There could be as many as eight teams fighting for three spots, and the 2010 champions are going to want back into the playoffs. San Fran has Ryan Vogelsong on the bump on Hump Day. One wouldn’t figure that Vogelsong would be one of the leaders in the NL in ERA, but it is difficult to argue with his 2.38 ERA. The former Pittsburgh Pirate knew that he really needed to change his career, as he had an ERA of over 6.00 for his lifetime before coming to the Giants. Now, he has 22 wins in basically a season and a half’s worth of starts, and this year, he has a 9-5 mark to show for 136.0 great frames. The righty is holding batters to just a .219 batting average, easily the best mark in his career, and he has a 1.13 ERA to show for his work.

The Cards are hanging in there, but they clearly have some work to be done if they are going to end up getting into the postseason. They’ll need to beat teams like this one to have all that much of a chance in the first place. Part of what needs to happen for the boys from the Gateway to the West is that they really need some better starting pitching from the back end of their rotation. Joe Kelly hasn’t been awful this year, but he clearly needs some help. The rookie is just 2-4, but that is a deceiving mark to say the least. He has a 3.14 ERA, which is great, but his splits need some work. The righty has a 1.40 WHIP and a .273 batting average against, and he has far more walks than he should (20) and not really enough strikeouts to show for it (36) in his 57.1 innings on the bump.

Prediction

This is a truly tough game to handicap. Vogelsong still feels like a flash in the pan to us end though we now have 50 starts worth of data on him since he has come to the Giants. Back Kelly and his crew at home for a big win against a potential postseason foe. St. Louis 6 – San Francisco 4

Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.