September 12, 2012

ESPN Wednesday Night Baseball Pick: New York @ Boston

MLB Picks

Preview


New York Yankees
vs.
Boston Red Sox

Starting Pitchers: Phelps (Yankees) vs. Cook (Red Sox)

Date/Time: September 12th, 7:05 P.M. EST

Television: ESPN

MLB Odds from VietBet

Moneyline: Yankees -140 Red Sox +130

Total: 10 (Over -105)

 

MLB Betting Game Trends

New York Yankees

  • NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games on the road
  • NY Yankees are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing Boston

Boston Red Sox

  • Boston is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
  • Boston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • Boston is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
  • Boston is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

 

Game Overview

Arch rivals continue their series at Fenway Park on Wednesday night in MLB betting action, as the New York Yankees take on the Boston Red Sox.

Be ever so careful, New York. This series is clearly of utmost importance to the Sox, and it showed last night when the latter was able to come up with a big time win to knock the Bronx Bombers back into a tie for first place in the AL East. This should be an interesting game for David Phelps, as he tries to get back in a groove as a starter. The righty out of Notre Dame just hasn’t pitched well as a starter in these last five starts. He does have a win to show for his work, but he also has an ERA around a touchdown in those outings and has been wildly inconsistent. So yes, for the season, it looks great that Phelps has a 3.55 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 78.2 innings of work. However, we have to remember that a lot of that came as a reliever, not as a starter, and he is going to really need to figure out how to stretch out his arm further than his career best 6.2 innings of work to get back into the win column for just the fourth time this year.

Give the Red Sox this much: At least they’re trying against the Yankees. They’ve got a bad pitching matchup in this one though, as Aaron Cook really shouldn’t be pitching at the big league level at this point in his career. He has always been a lifetime junk baller, and now that he is almost 34 years old, he can’t even strike out batters at any rate. Cook has just 16 strikeouts against 15 walks on the campaign, and that has all come in 76.2 innings of work. He has just a 3-9 mark this year and one win since the All-Star Break, and that isn’t going to cut it, especially when you’re talking about this being the de facto Pawtucket Red Sox with a few players from the big league club sprinkled in.

Prediction

Cook is just a wreck, and we, under no circumstance, can back him at this point. That being said, we guess that we have no choice but to go with the Yankees, who at least have the better and more efficient bullpen to deal with when these two starters are both out of the game, something that we think will happen within the first six innings for each. New York 9 – Boston 7

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Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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