December 22, 2013

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers: Preview and Pick

The Monday night football game for week 16 in the National Football League features two good teams, but only one of them will have playoff aspirations.  The San Francisco 49ers will be heading to the post season but they cannot afford to lose the Atlanta Falcons if they want to head to the playoffs with momentum. The Falcons may be out of the playoffs, but they are winning ball games down the stretch and still playing hard.

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers Preview

The NFL odds for this game opened up with the 49ers listed as (-10) point favorites. The betting public assumes that the 49ers will get a big victory over the Falcons as 75 percent of the public is betting on a big win and cover by the home team. So much money is coming in on the 49ers, the line has now moved to (-12) at many of the top rated online sportsbooks.

The 49ers offense is starting to get on track. Colin Kaepernick was 15-of-21 for 162 yards and two touchdowns against four or fewer pass rushers. Though Kaepernick was pressured at about the same rate as his season average, he was a more effective passer in Sunday’s win. Kaepernick’s opponent didn’t fare as well. San Francisco sent four or fewer rushers after Mike Glennon on 37-of-38 dropbacks, and Glennon completed 18-of-33 passes for 179 yards, two touchdowns and an interception with a season-high four sacks. The Falcons are playing tough but they will not have a chance against the 49ers on the west coast.

The latest football betting trends for this game reveal that the wagering angles favor the home team in this game. The Falcons are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

The 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game and 24-7-1 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers Pick

With plenty of time before kickoff we will wait for more information to come in before we select a side on this contest. Make sure to check the forum during the week and on the day of the game to get the latest and most up to date information on the game and our free nfl pick.

 

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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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