(7-4, 6-5 ATS)
Florida State Seminoles
(8-3, 6-5 ATS)
For four years, the Florida State Seminoles had to watch as QB Tim Tebow blew them apart for the Florida Gators. Now, after six straight losses and no home wins here since 2002, the garnet and gold will look to get back on the winning page in college football betting action on Saturday afternoon at Doak Campbell Stadium.
Florida hasn’t lost here in Tallahassee since the field was named after former FSU HC Bobby Bowden, and it doesn’t intend on starting that on Saturday either. The Gators have had some trouble this season, as they only have seven wins, none of which were truly eye popping victories. In fact, of the six wins against FBS teams this year for the Gators, none of them have won more than seven games so far on the season, and though five of the six are probably going bowling, none will be playing on New Year’s Day. QB John Brantley hasn’t been able to step into Tebow’s shoes to accomplish anything that the great No. 15 did in Gainesville, but if he can at least keep the winning tradition against FSU alive, he’ll have a lot of love back at home when this one is over with regardless of what happens in the pending bowl game for UF. The ground game in general has really lacked quite a bit, as Tebow’s rushing hasn’t been there, while RB Jeff Demps, RB Mike Gillislee, RB Emmanuel Moody, and RB/WR Chris Rainey just haven’t gotten the job done when called upon. Where the Gators do excel is on defense, where they have conceded just 300.2 yards per game. However, when it has really counted this year against the LSU Tigers, South Carolina Gamecocks, and Alabama Crimson Tide, this ‘D’ has allowed at least 30 points.
If the Seminoles ever really needed to win a game, this would be the one. They stayed alive in the ACC Atlantic Division race with their win over the Maryland Terrapins last week, and the only thing that HC Jimbo Fisher can do right now from that respect is to sit back and hope that the NC State Wolfpack slip up in a game going on concurrently. Save the Oklahoma Sooners, there hasn’t been a team that FSU has gone up against this year that it shouldn’t have beaten. It was just one questionable kick and a horrible fumble at the goal line away from being a 10-1 team right now that might be fighting for a spot in the BCS Championship Game. QB Christian Ponder really hasn’t totally played up to his expectations this year, but he does have 17 TDs against just eight picks on the year. He has really been helped out by an improving defense that is yielding almost 100 yards fewer per game this year that it did last year and a ground game that has three solid backs. RBs Chris Thompson, Jermaine Thomas, and Ty Jones are used rather sparingly, but all three have the ability to go for 100+ yards in every game which they play.
The time is now for Florida State. The Noles need this game in the worst way just to get some bragging rights going in the state of Florida again, and it is crucial that they stay in the Top 25 for when this season is over. This is a short college football betting line that we’re dealing with, and we’ll happily lay the two points.
College Football Free Pick: Florida State Seminoles -2