Florida State Seminoles
(4-1, 4-1 ATS)
(3-1, 3-1 ATS)
The Noles know that this might be the best chance that they have had at an ACC championship in a number of years, and winning games like this would go a long way in procuring the spot in the ACC title game. Since the loss to the Oklahoma Sooners, this team has looked like one on a real mission, particularly defensively. One of the best defensive fronts in the nation is getting after quarterbacks again like in the good old days for the garnet and gold, and the end result has been just 24 points scored since the middle of September. Offensively, three straight 30+ point games have been encouraging as well, as the Noles are just laying it on their opponents week after week. QB Christian Ponder might not be putting up Heisman Trophy types of numbers as he was expected to, but there is definitely no shame in the fact that he has completed 60.5 percent of his passes for 844 yards with eight scores against three picks on the year. FSU has won two straight played in Miami, including the last visit, a 41-39 win in the highest scoring game it has had against the Canes in over a decade.
Miami has one major problem coming into this NCAA football betting affair. QB Jacory Harris has a shoulder injury that the university really isn’t disclosing a lot of information about. In spite of the fact that he has been listed as doubtful, the consensus is that Harris is going to suit up for the game. He has tossed eight picks this year, but he also has ten TD passes. In last year’s game against the Noles, a 38-34 victory at Doak Campbell Stadium, Harris threw for 386 yards and accounted for three TDs. WR Travis Benjamin and WR Leonard Hankerson combined for eight catching, an even 200 yards, and a TD that day, and the two are once again the top receivers for “The U.” Hankerson has been particularly strong, making the most of his 23 catches. He has 388 yards and six TDs to show for his work. What has made the Canes go though, has been their pass defense. This unit ranks No. 6 in the country at just 136.0 yards per game allowed, and this is against a schedule that has included games against the Ohio State Buckeyes, Pitt Panthers, and Clemson Tigers.
If Harris is really telling the truth that he is healthy and ready to go, the Canes certainly should have no problems winning this game. However, we aren’t so sure what to believe right now. What we do know is that the road team has won four straight in this series. It might mean more to Miami since the Coastal Division probably has the tougher slate, but we still think that the Noles are going to turn up victorious in this one.
College Football Free Pick: Florida State Seminoles +6
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