Florida State Seminoles
(6-1, 5-2 ATS)
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North Carolina State Wolfpack
(5-2, 5-2 ATS)
The Atlantic Division in the ACC could be effectively decided on Thursday night at Carter Finley Stadium, as the NC State Wolfpack clash with the Florida State Seminoles in college football betting action.
The Noles have had a week and a half to prepare for this game, and you can bet that the defense has its work cut out for it. This unit averages allowing just 308.1 yards per game this year, a marked improvement of over 100 yards per game from last season. The ‘D’ almost let the Boston College Eagles get to the 20 point barrier, which would have been the second time this season that that happened against the garnet and gold. However, this week will be a tough quest against one of the better offenses against the Wolfpack ‘O’. This also means that the offense is probably going to need to step it up just a tad from the 24 point performance of two weeks ago against the Eagles. This unit might not be that much improved from a year ago, but the rushing attack is adding a level of intensity to the offense that just wasn’t there last year. Running backs Ty Jones, Chris Thompson, and Jermaine Thomas are fantastic, as they are combining for over 170 yards per game between the three of them. QB Christian Ponder has been a bit of a downer this year, but there is no shame in the fact that he has thrown for 1,187 yards and 12 scores on the season.
The Wolfpack know that this is their last chance to make a hit in the Atlantic Division before they are probably relegated to a third tier bowl game. QB Russell Wilson has been great this year, but he has had a pick problem of late. Wilson, who only threw one INT in his freshman year, has now thrown eight picks in his last three games alone. The good news is that Wilson has 18 TD passes as well, and he has five straight 300+ yard passing games of the year. WRs Owen Spencer and Jarvis Williams are two men to watch out for. The two have combined for 61 catches and 945 yards this year, though the majority of the touchdowns are scored by other options. RB Mustafa Greene is going to have to have a good day, as he has 419 yards and four scores to lead the team on the season. NC State has had a few iffy games this year, and this isn’t something that can happen again versus the Noles. This unit as a whole is only conceding an average of 350.4 yards and 23.7 points per game.
We tend to think that the Noles are going to get this job done in Raleigh. Florida State knows that wins against both the Wolfpack and the Maryland Terrapins on the road will win the Atlantic Division in the first year for HC Jimbo Fisher. This would also be the first chance for the Wolfpack to move on to the ACC Championship as well, but we tend to think that the defense is ultimately going to let them down.
College Football Free Pick: Florida State Seminoles -3.5
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