The Seminoles haven’t had the year they thought they would so far this season as they were picked to finish the season in the top five of most polls, and they now find themselves out of the rankings entirely. But that won’t stop them from playing this game against Florida–a team that just can’t seem to get things going since the departure of Tim Tebow–like it was for the BCS title game.
When: Saturday, 7:00 PM EST
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
LINE: +2(Florida), O/U 45
After taking a closer look at the Seminoles, they are a team that has to get things done defensively in order to be successful. They are allowing just under 16 points per game this season. That is an incredibly low number for college football, and ranks them at number seven nationally.
In wins, that number gets even lower. It drops to under 10 points per game while in their losses, they are giving up over 25 per game.
On offense, the ‘Noles don’t have much of a running game to speak of and they rank 86th in the country in the category at only 126 yards per game. To boot, they do not have anyone on the team that has ran for 500 yards on the season yet, and it’s probably safe to say that FSU is not going to be beating anyone on the ground this season.
However, the passing game is where they are much more efficient. They sit in the top 25 in this area. The Seminoles get nearly 70 percent of their total offense through the air, so they don’t exactly have what you would call a balanced attack.
Since E.J. Manuel came back from that injury in the Oklahoma game, he has thrown 10 touchdowns to just four interceptions. That includes at least one passing touchdown in each game he has played. He also accumulated four rushing touchdowns during that same span.
As for the Gators, well, this is just not a good football team in any area this season, which is highly unusual for this program.
They have not been able to pass the ball effectively(87th), and they have not been able to run the ball very well either(65th) even with all of the backfield talent that they have stockpiled in Chris Rainey, Jeff Demps, and company..
The defense is a bit better, and they are holding opponents to just over 20 points per game this season as their opponents average 318.2 yards per game including 141.6 on the ground.
While it’s been a disappointing year for Florida a win over their in-state rivals would help give them momentum into their bowl game and into next season.
Florida is 0-3-1 against the spread in their last four home games, and 0-7 against the spread in their last seven games overall.
Matt’s Prediction: Florida State 28 Florida 17–This is the first time in quite a while that the Gators have been a home dog in this series. The last time that has happened was actually way back in 2003. Once again it looks like Florida’s inability to get the ball downfield is going to cost them as the Florida’s run defense is going to be way too much in this one.