College Football Pick of the Week – 2013 Week 11
Date/Time: November 9th, 12:00 PM ET
College Football Betting Odds from WagerWeb
Spread: Florida State -35
Here at Bang the Book, we are always keeping our eyes open for the best games to bet on each and every week. Of all of the games on the Week 11 docket, the one we are zeroing in on is the game where the Wake Forest Demon Deacons host the Florida State Seminoles at 12:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 9th.
And there’s another winner for us in our college football picks of the week. We are a whopping 9-1 ATS to start off the year, and we are guaranteed to have a winning season regardless of what else happens in the rest of the campaign. However, we’re content to just keep winning, and we think that we have the right formula in place once again in a Florida State game.
The Seminoles were our pick last week, and they were quite easy winners against the Miami Hurricanes. It was a game where the defense dominated and came up with a huge effort, and it was a game where the team managed to win by four touchdowns in spite of the fact that QB Jameis Winston didn’t play at his best, tossing two interceptions.
This is a much different situation this week against Wake Forest though, as it is a letdown game for a team that is due for a dud. By no stretch of the imagination do we think that FSU is going to ultimately drop this game, but we do find it entirely plausible that this could be a game in the second half, something that we haven’t seen a heck of a lot of us this year from the Noles.
We could roll off all of the great stats about FSU. The team is dominating on both sides of the ball, and the truth of the matter is that this is a squad that has proven it is amongst the best teams in the land. You know all of the names. Winston has 2,502 yards through the air with 24 TDs, and he has a great crop of receivers he’s playing alongside in WR Rashad Greene, WR Kenny Shaw, and WR Kelvin Benjamin, each of which will have over 500 receiving yards at the end of the day on Saturday. All four of FSU’s top receivers are averaging over 17 yards per catch as well, and that type of explosiveness is tough to counter.
However, this Wake Forest team isn’t a slouch at all. The Demon Deacons might only be averaging 313.8 yards per game of offense, good for just 116th in the land, but they are much more effective when they need to be. Few have stopped WR Michael Campanaro this season, as he is turning out to be one of the best receivers that the ACC has ever had. Last week’s loss to the Syracuse Orange was in part a hangover after blowing a lead against Miami the week prior, but the Deacs have proven that they can ball with the best.
Wake Forest beat up the NC State Wolfpack and the Maryland Terrapins in consecutive games to start off October, and though that has tailed off a bit since then, we still think that this is the team that can find a way to stick within five touchdowns of anyone in the country.
For starters, this Wake Forest defense has only allowed more than 24 points once this season, and that came against the Clemson Tigers on the road. At home this year, this ‘D’ has been fantastic, and if the offense was just a tad better, it would be an ACC title contender this season.
This Demon Deacons defense is allowing just 19.9 points per game this season, and they know that they are going to have to carry this team to a bowl game this year.
Watch out for QB Tanner Price as well. He has thrown for 1,951 yards and 12 TDs against five picks, and he some good legs on his as well.
Remember that game that FSU played against the Boston College Eagles back in Chestnut Hill? That sort of feels like what we are going to see in this one. The Seminoles showed some chinks in the armor last week, and they might show some more chinks this week.
Coming to Winston-Salem hasn’t been fun for the Seminoles at all of late either. They are only 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last four visits to BB&T Field, and that doesn’t bode well in this game. Florida State might have won this game 52-0 last season, but there’s no way that we see the garnet and gold outgaining the Demon Deacons by almost 500 yards of offense in this one either.
Week 11 College Football Pick of the Week: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +35