(5-5, 5-5 ATS)
(10-0, 6-4 ATS)
The NCAA football betting affair that everyone will be watching closely on Saturday afternoon will be at Jordan Hare Stadium, as the No. 2 team in the land, the Auburn Tigers, take on the Georgia Bulldogs in a crucial SEC battle.
Georgia certainly has its work cut out for it this weekend, as it hasn’t played all that well on the road this year and has a lot of pressure on the line. HC Mark Richt badly needs a win against either the Tigers or probably the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and a bowl opponent to save his job. Without the ‘W’ at Jordan Hare, the Bulldogs go into the final regular season game knowing that it’s do or die for the postseason. QB Aaron Murray is improving dramatically as the season goes on, and he is coming off of a great game in the romp of the Idaho State Bengals, a 228 yard, three TD, no pick performance. WR AJ Green is the real deal and will certainly be of the top wide receivers drafted this year in the NFL Draft. He has 510 yards and seven scores on 32 catches in just six games. The ‘D’ for UGA might rank No. 16 in the land in total yardage at 305.5 yards per game, but this is a suspect unit that has allowed at least 29 points four times this season, three of which came in SEC play.
Auburn has everything to prove and very little to really gain right now. The Tigers know that they need three more wins against solid foes to make it to the BCS Championship Game this year, but they have to take care of business one step at a time. The first step is going to be beating Georgia and winning the SEC West. Without this win, the Iron Bowl in two weeks against the Alabama Crimson Tide will probably either win or cost the Tigers the SEC West. Auburn’s bigger worry right now is the status of QB Cam Newton. Newton is under the scrutiny of an NCAA investigation regarding whether or not his family picked up a paycheck for him to come to Auburn. Should Newton be declared ineligible, the Tigers are probably finished. Newton is the clear Heisman Trophy frontrunner right now, as he has completed 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,890 yards and 19 scores, has caught two passes for 42 yards and a TD, and has rushed for 1,146 yards and 15 tuddies as well. Needless to say, this is a man that does it all because he has to. We already know the Auburn defense isn’t a traditional SEC ‘D’, as it has allowed just under 30 points per game in its L/5, including giving up 24 last week to the Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs.
This play is so sharp that it has become square. The Bulldogs are the trendiest selection on the board this week, and everyone is going to try to be the one that called for the tremendous upset. However, the oddsmakers have really adjusted too much at this point, and we find that Auburn is going to use all of this negative publicity as a motivating factor. Expect the Tigers to tame the Bulldogs on Saturday.
College Football Free Pick: Auburn Tigers -7