NCAA Football Betting Previews-No. 14 Georgia Bulldogs vs. No. 1 LSU Tigers
Point spread: LSU -12
This season’s Southeast Conference title game will feature the Georgia Bulldogs, winners of the SEC-East, against the West Division champion LSU Tigers this Saturday afternoon at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta. Game time for this conference championship showdown is set for 4 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on CBS.
Georgia started the season 0-2 with losses to Boise State and South Carolina, but last Saturday’s 31-17 victory over rival Georgia Tech as a 4.5 road favorite was its tenth in-a-row heading into this game. It finished the regular season at 10-2 straight-up and 8-4 against the spread. The total went 5-7 in its 12 games.
While the Bulldogs’ offense has been extremely balanced this season in its ability to both run and pass the ball, it was a stingy defense that deserves most of the credit for 10-game run. It is currently ranked 10th in the nation is points allowed; giving-up an average of 17.8 points a game.
When it comes to stingy defenses there are few better than LSU’s. Through a perfect 12-0 SU run (9-3 ATS) it has given-up an average of just 10.6 points a game and has held its opponents to 17 points or less 10 times.
Last Friday, the Tigers made one last statement in the regular season with a 41-17 romp over then-No.3 Arkansas as 10.5-point home favorites. It was the sixth-time they covered the spread in their last seven games. The total went ‘over’ the 53.5-point line and it is now 6-5-1 on the year.
Georgia is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games against the SEC, but 0-6 ATS in its last six games as an underdog. The total has gone ‘over’ in its last four games as an underdog.
LSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a favorite and 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games at a neutral site. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of its last six games as a favorite.
Head-to-head in this series, the Bulldogs have won three of the last four games both SU and ATS and the total has gone ‘over’ in four of the last five meetings. These two last met in 2009 with the Tigers grinding-out a 20-13 victory as 3.5-point road underdogs. Saturday’s contest should remain fairly close into the second half, but bank on LSU pulling away down the stretch like it has done so many other times this year.
The Pick: LSU 28 Georgia 13
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