NFL Pick: Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Date/Time: September 22, 2013 1:00 pm EST
NFL Gambling Odds from 5Dimes
NFL Betting Favorite: Packers -2.5
The Green Bay Packers started the season with a tough loss in San Francisco, but they bounced back with a big win over the Redskins at home last week. The Bengals lost a very tough game in Chicago in week one, but they picked up a big Monday Night Football win over the Pittsburgh Steelers last week. This might be the best matchup on the board in week three of NFL action. Which team will move to 2-1?
Green Bay hasn’t been able to find an answer to Colin Kaepernick just yet, but the Packers do have an excellent team that is capable of making another Super Bowl run this year. Aaron Rodgers is definitely one of the very best players in the NFL. Rodgers is completing almost 70% of his passes so far this year, and he has thrown 7 touchdown passes and just one interception. Eddie Lacy’s ability in the running game has helped, but Lacy is doubtful for this game due to a concussion. Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb are both reliable big play receivers for the Packers. Green Bay is currently first in the NFL in total offense.
The Packers defense is once again near the bottom of the NFL. Green Bay is giving up 458 yards per game through two contests, which is second worst in the NFL. The pass defense is dead last in the NFL right now as they are giving up 359 yards per contest. The injuries are already racking up for this Packers defense, which wasn’t able to stay healthy last year. This unit is going to have to be more consistent.
The Cincinnati Bengals are being picked by a lot of people to win the always-competitive AFC North this year. The Bengals folded down the stretch in their loss at Chicago, but the 20-10 win over Pittsburgh was a big step for this team. While the Steelers certainly aren’t what they used to be, they had owned the Bengals in recent years. Cincinnati has a bit of a short week of preparation here, and they definitely don’t get a scheduling break as they must host the Packers.
Andy Dalton has a lot of pressure on him to perform this year. The weapons around him are tremendous right now. He has two very good pass catching tight ends. He has one of the top five receivers in the NFL in A.J. Green. Gio Bernard showed how explosive he can be out of the backfield last week as well, and I believe he has a bright future ahead of him. Defensively, the Bengals are very good in the front seven. The defensive line is the strength of this team. The secondary does have some question marks, and you better believe they’ll be tested by Rodgers and the Packers.
Free Pick: Over 48.5
I think the Packers are the better team here, but I don’t like laying points on the road. Instead, I’d rather play the over since I expect both offenses to put up quite a few points.