NCAA Football Betting Preview
Hawaii Warriors (2-1) at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (1-2)
Wednesday September 30th, 8:00PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Louisiana Tech -3.5
Normally the College Football week does not heat up until Thursday nights, but the WAC will highlight a conference battle this Wednesday night to kick start the 5th week of college football when the Hawaii Warriors leave the island to take on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. The game will mark both teams first conference game of the season. While Boise State is huge favorites to take down the conference as the top “BCS Buster” in America, both Hawaii and Louisiana Tech will be trying to make noise out of the conference this season as well.
The Warriors suffered their first loss of the season in a 34-33 heartbreaker last week to UNLV. The Warriors gave up a touchdown pass with just 36 seconds remaining in the game that resulted in their first loss of the season. However, they will look to bounce back this Wednesday night as their offense leads the charge against the Bulldogs defense. Hawaii is averaging 33 points per game on the season led by quarterback Greg Alexander. Alexander has already thrown over 1,200 yards and 9 touchdowns in just 3 games this season while throwing just 2 interceptions.
Alexander who is completing 67% on the season has found comfort in wide receivers Greg Salas and Rodney Bradley. Both receivers are averaging over 20 yards per catch while Salas leads the team with an impressive 479 yards in the 3 games this season. The Bulldogs secondary has been a concern for the team and if they do not play well this Wednesday it will be a long day from a dangerous Hawaii passing team.
Louisiana Tech on the other hand has not had a lot of success on offense yet this year. QB Ross Jenkins is averaging 220 yards per game, but has thrown just 3 touchdown passes on the season and 2 picks. WR Phillip Livas leads the team with 10 catches and WR Dennis Morris has two touchdowns catching the ball this season. The Bulldogs are attempting over 30 passes per game, but also get a good bit of action to running back Daniel Porter. However, Porter has been held to just 138 yards in 3 games after rushing for nearly 1,200 yards in 2008. The Bulldogs desperately need Porter to produce which would open up the rest of the offense.
On the other side of the field, Louisiana Tech has allowed over 400 yards per game on defense. Those numbers can not continue or it will be along year based on the offense’s production. The Bulldogs rank dead last in the conference allowing a lucrative 251 yards per game on the ground. The run defense may not be a huge concern given Hawaii keeps the ball in the air. Actually it favors Louisiana Tech as the rank 1st in the conference holding offenses to just 156 yards per game through the air. The pass defense will have a tough challenge holding Alexander to those type of passing numbers, but if the pass defense does continue to stay strong they may get their first conference victory of the season.
Betting Trends –
Hawaii is 5-1 in their last 6 games ATS on the road and more importantly 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs have beaten Hawaii just once in their last 7 meetings, but do own an 8-1 mark SU in their last 9 games at home.
Jay’s Pick – Bulldogs do not have the firepower to keep up with Hawaii unless they force a ton of turnovers. However, Alexander will have none of that and post another 400 yard passing performance. Take Hawaii +3.5