November 1, 2013

NBA Pick: Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets

Matchup: Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets

Date/Time: November 1st, 8:00 p.m. ET

Television: ESPN

Basketball Odds from BetDSI

Point Spread: Heat -3.5

Total: 193.5

The Miami Heat and the Brooklyn Nets will kick off the month of November with NBA betting action from the Barclays Center in the first of two games on ESPN on Friday night.

The Heat did the job on the opening night of the season at home against the Chicago Bulls in a game which they were expected to be challenged in. However, the next night against the Philadelphia 76ers, Miami put up a tremendous dud. The Heat were 10-point favorites in spite of the fact that they were playing in their second straight night. The real suspect part of this was that Philly had an over/under of just 16.5 wins this year and is clearly going to be one of the worst teams in the league. Was it a farce, or are the Heat really beatable this year? We tend to think that they are going to be just fine, and we expect that their defense is going to end up being the difference. Having all of the superstars is great, but after letting Philly shot 43-for-80 from the field two nights ago, Head Coach Erik Spoelstra is going to be ready to get his team’s basics back in order.

Game 1 for the new-look Nets didn’t go so well earlier this week. They were beaten by the Cleveland Cavaliers on the road, and it became clear what some of the problems were going to be this year. There just aren’t enough shots to be had for all of these players. G Joe Johnson only went 3-for-10 from the field in the game, and G Deron Williams only managed six shots from the field. Beyond the first five guys and G Jason Terry, there isn’t a lot to write home about. F Alan Anderson and F Reggie Evans are okay, but they aren’t the types of players that are going to be needed off of the bench to beat the Heat. Remember too, that Cleveland won that game with G Kyrie Irving shooting just 4-for-16 from the field, and that’s a bad indicator going forward. There’s no way that any of the “Three Amigos” for Miami is going to shoot 25% from the floor, and if that turns out to the case, this isn’t going to be a fun one for Brooklyn.

Prediction:

Essentially, the rule of thumb here is that you don’t tug on Superman’s cape. The Heat are going to be just fine this year in these big games, as they are going to win a lot more of them than they lose. It’s the games against team like Philly, especially on the road that concern us. This isn’t one of those games. The Nets will get Miami a few times out of 10, but not nearly enough times out of 10 to warrant a bet in this one. Miami 106 – Brooklyn 99

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Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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