Heisman Trophy Odds Update (as of 10/14/11)
Here at Bang the Book, we are beginning our update for the Heisman Trophy odds on a weekly basis. Here is our first look through six weeks of play at some of the favorites as well as the odds to win the 2011 Heisman Trophy that can be found below…
Landry Jones, Oklahoma Sooners: The more that Oklahoma wins, the more that we think that Jones is going to win the Heisman Trophy. Jones has thrown for 1,814 yards and 13 TDs this year, and he is doing so on significantly fewer pass attempts than most of the top passers in the game around him. The bottom line doesn’t have anything to do with the stats, though. We know that Jones is going to be good for another 300+ yards and probably 3-4 TDs against Kansas this week. The only question is whether this team keeps winning. We tend to think that that is exactly what is going to happen, which is why Jones is the favorite.
Andrew Luck, Stanford Cardinal: Unfortunately for Luck, the Heisman Trophy isn’t awarded to the best NFL prospect. We know that Luck has all of the skills, and he is surely going to be the first pick in the NFL Draft in all likelihood. However, there are some things that we need to remember. First off, he only ranks No. 33 in the country in passing yards with 1,383 yards. Secondly, the Cardinal have to probably make it to the National Championship Game, or at minimum the Rose Bowl to be able to really give Luck this award. We’re not fond of the odds right now on Luck, but we know that he is going to stay here as a prospective finalist and we cannot ignore him.
Russell Wilson, Wisconsin Badgers: Not only is Wilson getting the job done with his arm, but he is doing so with his legs as well. He has truly been the most valuable player in the country, as the Badgers do really look like National Championship type material this year now that they have a quarterback to go with their vaunted running game and stellar defense. With 13 TDs against just one pick and a 74.8 completion percentage, Wilson has all of the tools to get the job done. Accounting for 35 scores and 3,500 total yards with a minimal number of picks and an undefeated season might be just what the doctor ordered. Some think that this should be the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy right now.
Denard Robinson, Michigan Wolverines: We’re just not buying into the whole hype surrounding Robinson and the Wolverines right now. Remember that this is just six games into the season, and this is right around the time that Big Blue tends to fall apart at the seams. Talk to us after we see how Robinson does on the road against Michigan State this weekend and against some of the other big boys that the Big 10 has to offer. The junior is only completing 57.3 percent of his passes this year, and he has nearly as many touchdowns (10) as picks (9) as a passer. However, he also has 720 rushing yards and nine TDs that way as well. If Michigan doesn’t end up winning at least 10 games though, we’re not going to make the assumption that the Wolverines are going to have a Heisman Trophy finalist.
Kellen Moore, Boise State Broncos: Just as is the case for a number of other potential finalists, Moore isn’t so much dealing with his statistics. Only QB Robert Griffin III has accounted for more passing touchdowns this year than Moore, who has 17 scores. He’ll end up with over 3,000 passing yards and at least 35 or 40 scores along with being one of the more efficient passers in the game. However, when push comes to shove, we’re just not all that sure that Boise State running the table is going to be enough for Moore to get the job done this year. We can’t ignore the possibility that the Broncos end up in the National Championship Game, and if that’s the case, Moore is probably going to be the winner of this award. However, it’s going to take a heck of a lot of magic to happen for Moore to claim the Heisman Trophy.
Odds to Win 2011 Heisman Trophy (as of 9/28/11)
Aaron Murray 150 to 1
Andrew Luck 5 to 1
Brandon Weeden 12 to 1
Case Keenum 30 to 1
Darron Thomas 100 to 1
Denard Robinson 8 to 1
Justin Blackmon 50 to 1
Kirk Cousins 175 to 1
LaMichael James 50 to 1
Landry Jones 3 to 1
Marcus Lattimore 15 to 1
Matt Barkley 60 to 1
Michael Floyd 125 to 1
Robert Griffin III 40 to 1
Ryan Broyles 100 to 1
Trent Richardson 12 to 1
Russell Wilson 5 to 1
Geno Smith 50 to 1
Lamar Miller 50 to 1
David Wilson 125 to 1
TY Hilton 125 to 1
Kellen Moore 10 to 1
Tajh Boyd 20 to 1
Sammy Watkins 75 to 1
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