October 28, 2010

Heisman Trophy Odds Update (as of 10/28/10)

Heisman Trophy Update (as of 10/28/10)


Here at Bang the Book, we are beginning our update for the Heisman Trophy odds on a weekly basis. Here is our first look through eight weeks of play at some of the favorites as well as the odds to win the 2010 Heisman Trophy that can be found below…

Cam Newton, Auburn Tigers: What isn’t surprising is the fact that Newton is the favorite to take down the Heisman Trophy this season after leading the Tigers to a triumph over the LSU Tigers last Saturday. What is surprising is the fact that he is an odds on favorite with so much football left to play. Auburn has a very difficult game this weekend against the Ole Miss Rebels, and if it loses that one, a legitimate possibility, we will see his odds come back to earth in a hurry. One injury with so much time left in the season would be catastrophic, and we don’t think that Newton is just that much further ahead of the rest of the nation. Don’t bother with these types of odds, though we do recognize that this is a tremendous favorite at this point.

LaMichael James, Oregon Ducks: If James had played in the season opener against the New Mexico Lobos, he would be the favorite right now to take down the Heisman Trophy. James is No. 5 in the nation right now in rushing at 991 yards, and he is clearly one of the most dynamic rushers in the entire nation. He has 12 TDs and again would be at the top of the country in that category with the extra game under his belt as well. This week is a major showcase game against the USC Trojans in LA. Tearing apart the Men of Troy could make things very, very interesting, especially if Auburn goes down.

Kellen Moore, Boise State Broncos: Moore remains the dark horse in this competition, because you just know that he is never going to drop off of this list for as long as he stays healthy. Moore’s numbers are remarkable once again, as he has thrown for 1,865 yards and 18 TDs on the year against two picks. The problem that the junior has is that he put up a so-so performance on national television against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, as two TDs and 298 yards passing just isn’t going to cut it. He’ll need to pick it up, but could get a huge hand this weekend if some of the best teams in the country start to go down in front of him.

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Andrew Luck, Stanford Cardinal: Luck is certainly putting up some gaudy numbers this year as well, and for as long as the Cardinal keep winning, he’ll keep up on this list. However, Luck’s problem is that he really doesn’t have that one big signature win to fall back upon, as his once chance at the Oregon Ducks, he threw two picks and his team lost by three TDs. Even though Luck has 1,728 passing yards and 19 scores against just five INTs, all five of those picks have come in Stanford’s last four games, and it’s hard to justify him being a Heisman Trophy contender without some huge performances.

Terrelle Pryor, Ohio State Buckeyes: As soon as the Buckeyes were bounced by the Wisconsin Badgers, Pryor’s stock in the Heisman Trophy list went down the tubes as well. The difference here is that there is still enough time to make up the stats to win the award. If Ohio State wins out, and we realize that that is a big if, Pryor is going to be a finalist unless his numbers just totally fall off. There’s no denying that he is the best player on the field in Columbus, and he’ll probably end up with about 30-35 total touchdowns and a solid 3,500 yards or between rushing and receiving when the season is over with. Those figures should be good enough to at least keep him in consideration.

Taylor Martinez, Nebraska Cornhuskers: We really thought that Martinez’s Heisman Trophy hopes were said and done when Nebraska lost to the Texas Longhorns even though it really wasn’t his fault. However, when you throw for 323 yards and five TDs and rush for another 112 yards in taking down a previously undefeated team on the road this late in the season, you certainly get some consideration. This is another big week for Martinez going against the Missouri Tigers. Regardless of how good his stats are, a loss for Big Red would end his Heisman dreams. Even still, it’s going to take a ton to have the committee select a freshman as the Heisman Trophy winner, but we tend to believe that these are great odds on a fantastic player.

Odds to Win 2010 Heisman Trophy at BetMania (as of 10/28/10)
Cam Newton -240
LaMichael James +300
Kellen Moore +450
Andrew Luck +1400
Terrelle Pryor +1800
Taylor Martinez +2200
Denard Robinson +2500
Blaine Gabbert +3500
Landry Jones +5500
John Clay +12500

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