Holiday Bowl: California vs. Texas Free Pick

Holiday Bowl Betting Preview

Cal Golden Bears vs. Texas Longhorns Gambling Odds from BetDSI

NCAA FB Betting Favorite: Texas -3

Over/Under: 47.5

 

The Holiday Bowl is generally one of the best early bowl matchups, and this year is no different. A couple of major programs will square off on December 28 in southern California. On the surface it would seem that Cal will have a major home field advantage, but Texas fans travel about as well as anyone. Both of these major programs are having a subpar season by their high standards. Which one can finish the season on a high note?

Zach Maynard had an up and down season at quarterback for California. Maynard threw 17 touchdowns, but he only completed 56.5% of his passes. He also threw 11 interceptions. Keenan Allen gives the team a terrific wide receiver on the outside. Allen caught 88 passes for 1,254 yards this season. The Golden Bears offense is at its best when Isi Sofele is running well. Sofele averaged 5.5 yards per carry this season. Cal averaged 30 points per game during the regular season.

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The Golden Bears defense had some ridiculous home/away splits this year. Overall, the team only gave up 24.2 points per game, but away from home they were terrible. On the road, California allowed 34.5 points per game. Opponents racked up 207.5 rushing yards per game when Cal played away from home. The Golden Bears have several good pass rushers, and they will need to be at their best in this one.

Texas has installed a two-quarterback system into their offense this year. Case McCoy and David Ash have gotten fairly equal playing time this year. McCoy is the better passer, while Ash is more of a running quarterback. Both of them are very young, and inconsistency has been an issue for them as well in 2011. Malcolm Brown is the Longhorns leading rusher. He averages 4.4 yards per carry. Jaxon Shipley and Mike Davis are two young talented receivers on the outside. The Longhorns averaged 28.7 points per game during the regular season.

The Texas defense has been the strength of the team most of this season. Against the run, this unit has been tremendous. Opponents are only picking up 103 yards per game on the ground. The secondary has struggled against top passing games, and the Longhorns allowed 212 passing yards per game this year. This defense hasn’t forced many turnovers, but they are solid fundamentally.

Both teams enter with a 7-5 record, but I think Texas has the edge here. I don’t think the Golden Bears offense will have much success in this game. Look for the Longhorns to cover in this one.

Free College Football Pick: Texas -3

Kyle Hunter

Kyle Hunter

is full-timesports writer and sports handicapper. You simply won’t find someone who loves sports more than Kyle. Kyle considers college football and college basketball his two favorite sports. Kyle has earned many accolades for his highly successful handicapping, and he writes full-time for many top sports websites. Keep an eye out for high quality free sports analysis from Kyle!

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