Idaho Vandals vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Trends and Free Pick
(5-6, 5-6 ATS)
Fresno State Bulldogs
(6-4, 4-5-1 ATS)
The last college football betting war of the night features two teams dab smack in the middle of the WAC that are trying to reach bowl games. The Fresno State Bulldogs already know that they are safe and will be playing in a game in a few weeks in a bowl. The Idaho Vandals aren’t so sure though, as they need to pick up a pair of wins in these last two weeks of the season to head to, most likely, the Humanitarian Bowl.
With the San Jose Spartans up next week, this is clearly the game that will separate the Vandals from a second straight season with a bowl game. They have the No. 8 rated passing attack in the country, and they make no bones about the fact that they are going to wing the ball all over the field on a regular season. QB Nathan Enderle and QB Brian Reader have already combined to throw the pigskin 482 times this year in 11 games. Enderle has thrown for 2,845 yards and 21 scores this year, but he has to take care of the football, as 15 picks are just too many. There is no shortage of receiving options either. Eight different receivers have at least 200 yards this year in receiving, but none have even 600. Keep a close eye on WR Justin Veltung, though. Veltung has an average of 21.9 yards per reception this year, and he has eight scores on just 21 catches. Defensively, allowing 29.3 points per game doesn’t look that bad once you take out the 113 points in two games that the Boise State Broncos and Nevada Wolf Pack put up on Idaho, but it’s hard to ignore that Nevada 844 yard effort back on November 6th.
The Bulldogs are trying to finish this year above the .500 mark, as they are 4-3 in conference right now and have a date with the Illinois Fighting Illini next week. RB Robbie Rouse has had some truly amazing games this year, as he is capable of running for 200+ yards on a lot of defenses in this country. He has 1,014 yards and eight scores on the season, and he has been a major help to QB Ryan Colburn. Colburn has thrown for 2,006 yards and has an 18/9 TD/INT ratio. WR Jamel Hamler has caught 37 passes for 562 of those yards with five TDs. Though Fresno State has already lost two games at home this year, we can’t forget that those losses came against the Hawaii Warriors and Nevada Wolf Pack, and that game against Nevada went significantly better than Idaho’s did. The Bulldogs nearly pulled off the upset, losing 35-34 in the dying moments of the duel. Defensively, we know that this is still a team that is struggling, and this has been the one thing holding HC Pat Hill and company back. Allowing 366.2 yards per game is acceptable, but when that gets parlayed into 30.7 points per game, the Dogs have gotten into some trouble.
Fresno State is laying a ton of points in this game, and we aren’t so sure that it’s warranted. Idaho might be every bit as good as the Bulldogs are, and if the Vandals can get Enderle and that passing game going, they can pull off this outright upset, especially with a bowl game on the line.
College Football Free Pick: Idaho Vandals +10
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