(3-1, 3-1 ATS)
Ohio State Buckeyes
(5-0, 4-1 ATS)
For the second straight week, the Indiana Hoosiers will take on one of the best teams in the Big Ten in NCAA football betting action. This week though, they’ll hit the road to the Horseshoe, where the Ohio State Buckeyes have been absolutely dominating all season long.
If Indiana has absolutely any chance of sneaking out of Columbus with an upset, it is going to need the biggest game of QB Ben Chappell’s life. Chappell was simply awesome last week in the near miss against the Michigan Wolverines, as he threw for 480 yards and three TDs and stood toe to toe with one of the favorites to win the Heisman Trophy, QB Denard Robinson. In the end though, Robinson was just too much for the Hoosiers to overcome in a game that would have clearly vaulted them into the Top 25 in the nation. The defense is the real question mark for IU, as it is allowing 207 rushing yards per game. We already saw Robinson tear this ‘D’ up both through the air and on the ground, and now with another dual threat quarterback under center, there is a big question as to how Indiana is going to react. After holding its first three foes to 21 points or less on the year, IU allowed 42 in the seven point loss last week to Big Blue.
The Buckeyes are 4-0 SU and ATS at home this year thanks to the great play of QB Terrelle Pryor and a stifling defense that has been amazing. The ‘D’ has only allowed 241.6 yards and 14.2 points per game this season, and in spite of the fact that there have been injuries to contend with, HC Jim Tressel just continues putting one of the best defenses in the country out on the field week in and week out. It was that ‘D that really stood tall in last week’s 24-13 escape from the Illinois Fighting Illini, which marked the first in what could be a stretch of very tough games for Ohio State. As for Pryor, many still think that he is the favorite to win beat the Heisman Trophy odds this year. He has thrown for 1,015 yards and rushed for 373 more, but he is suffering from a quad injury that sidelined him for a short period of time against Illinois. Still, this is an offense that is rolling in spite of the minor setback last week. Ohio State is averaging 463.4 yards per game and 44.2 points per game, both numbers leave it ranked in the Top 25 on the season.
The Hoosiers are better than we thought, but this is the first time that they are running up against a real defense. In the end, it will be too much for IU to try to figure out how to get in the end zone, and if that’s the case, Pryor and company are going to put up a very big number. Our only concern is complacency over next week’s game at Camp Randall, but when push comes to shove, it shouldn’t matter.
NCAA Football Free Pick: Ohio State -22.5