Free NBA Pick: Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat Game 7
Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat Game 7
Date/Time: Monday, June 3, 8:30 p.m. (ET)
NBA Betting Odds: VietBet
Pointspread: Miami -7
Total Line: 181
Indiana has already defied the odds by taking this series the full seven games. It is now one win away from pulling of one of the biggest upsets in NBA playoff history after forcing a Game 7 with Saturday night’s 91-77 romp in Game 6 as a 2.5-point underdog at home. The Pacers shot 50 percent from the field in that game, just as they did in their two previous victories in this series. They completely controlled the boards by outrebounding Miami 53-33 and spread the ball around with four different players scoring in double figures.
The trick to winning on Monday night will be to duplicate that kind of effort one more time. Paul George led the team in scoring in Game 6 with 28 points and comes into this showdown as the Pacers’ leading scorer in the playoffs with 19.9 points a game. Roy Hibbert continues to dominate underneath with 10 rebounds and 16.9 points a game while David West and George Hill are chipping in a combined 30.7 points, 11.4 rebounds and 6.6 assists a game. It has been this kind of team effort as well as a stifling defense that has Indiana on the doorsteps of the NBA Finals.
The Heat appeared to take control of this series with a 114-96 victory in Game 3 as two-point favorites on the road. Since then, they have lost twice and needed a monster performance from LeBron James in Game 5 just to remain alive in a series they were heavily favored to win in five or six games. While the betting public will most likely jump all over Miami in this Game 7 showdown, it has yet to convince me that the gap between these two teams is really as wide as everyone thinks.
James is living-up to his reputation as the NBA’s best player with an average of 25.8 points, 7.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists in 15 previous playoff games this year; however too many times in this series he has been a one-man show with the rest of the team standing around watching along with everyone else in the crowd. Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh have all but disappeared from the picture over the past three games and Ray Allen has managed to score a combined 13 points in the last two contests. If Miami sits back and relies on James to once again bail it out, it could find itself in major trouble against the a very determined Pacers’ team.
Free NBA Pick
Conventional wisdom would tell you that the Heat should come out smoking on Monday night and cruise to an easy double-digit victory, but right now all the momentum in this series is with Indiana even though it has to play this game on the road. In the end, Miami will most likely win, but the free NBA pick is with the Pacers and the seven points.
Miami 93 Indiana 90
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