The NFL playoffs kick off this week, and the Indianapolis Colts and the Baltimore Ravens are set to do battle. Check out some of the NFL prop bets that are available at BetDSI, as we analyze the betting lines and see which sides to play.
Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards (-115): Though it is rare to see a big time touchdown in a Baltimore game, that isn’t the case for the Colts. QB Andrew Luck has no fear unleashing the deep ball to any of his young receivers (or to WR Reggie Wayne), and WR TY Hilton has emerged as a tremendous threat of a return man. Six of the last seven games for the Colts have featured at least one touchdown of at least 45 yards, and with a ‘total’ posted relatively high at 46.5, there are sure to be chances to get the home run touchdown that covers half the field at some point over the course of the game.
Andrew Luck Will Throw a TD Before an INT (-140): For starters, Luck hasn’t been picked off in three straight games, so obviously, if he doesn’t end up getting picked off at any point in this one, the worst that we can do is push. However, Head Coach Chuck Pagano is sure to come out swinging in the passing game, knowing that the ground game might have a tough time with LB Ray Lewis all fired up to get in there and knock around RB Vick Ballard and the Indy rushers. It just seems logical for a man that has thrown six straight touchdowns since an interception that he is going to toss TD No. 7 before he throws pick No. 1 significantly more often than not.
Vick Ballard Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115): Baltimore’s defense might be good, but Ballard has been improving every game since he has taken over as the starting running back for this team. The Mississippi State product has at least 69 yards in each of his last four games, and more importantly, he has logged at least 18 carries in all of those games as well. If he gets 18 touches in this one, he needs to average just 3.56 yards per carry for this prop to win. The Ravens can put together a great rush defense at times, but there’s just no way that the ‘D’ can be that good. The only downside to Ballard? He doesn’t have a single carry is his career of longer than 26 yards, so he is going to have to plod his way to 64 for us in this one.
Dennis Pitta Under 45.5 Receiving Yards (-115): Pitta has had at least 46 yards receiving in three straight games (we won’t count Week 17 when most of the starters didn’t play more than a drive or two), but we just aren’t buying him as the premier pass catcher in this offense. A lot of that has come with WR Torrey Smith disappearing for a bit in the lineup, and WR Anquan Boldin has the potential to get some grabs as well. Pitta had two games this year where he was completely shut out and two more where he had just a single catch. With eight games this year with 33 receiving yards or fewer and one more with just 42 yards, we have to think that Pitta is going to be kept in some form of check on Sunday against a hyped up Indianapolis defense.
Ray Lewis Under 8 Tackles (-115): Forgive us for betting against you, Ray. It’s the last game of Lewis’ career at M&T Bank Stadium (barring a miracle), and in all likelihood, he is going to be all over the place. But is he really, truly ready to give it a go after tearing a triceps muscle back in Week 6? Lewis was averaging 9.5 total tackles per game over the course of his first few games of the season, so we know that he has it in him, but we are worried about regression with the 17-year vet. The Colts also throw the ball a lot more than they run it, and in the run game is where Lewis gets the mass majority of his tackles. We just don’t know if Lewis is going to ultimately average over two tackles per quarter in his first game in three months.
Justin Tucker Over 7.5 Points (-140): The Colts have been playing bend but don’t break defense for quite some time over the course of the last few weeks, and the end result is that there have been tons of field goals. Tucker has had nine games this year with multiple field goals made, and we have no reason to believe that this won’t be another one of those games significantly more often than not. Tucker is just a rookie, and we do have some fears about that, but in the end, he is playing for a team that has the ability to put quite a few points on the board and is going against a defense that just isn’t all that great. Asking for two field goals and two extra points doesn’t seem like all that much.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.