Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Free Picks for Week 4
(2-1, 2-1 ATS)
(1-2, 1-2 ATS)
It seems as though that first game against the Houston Texans woke up the Colts. QB Peyton Manning is one of the few that is already over 1,000 yards passing this year, as he has 1,013 yards and nine scores without an INT on the season. In his last three games against the Jags, the former Tennessee Volunteer has led Indy to 308, 294, and 364 yards respectively. This offense looks like a well oiled machine right now, ranking third in the NFL in total yardage at 412.7 yards per game. There is still no rushing game whatsoever to speak of, though there was one very good game in the three. Both RB Joseph Addai and RB Donald Brown are averaging less than four yards per carry. Surprisingly, the leading receiver is WR Austin Collie, who has 27 catches for 359 yards and four TDs on the year. Four different starters are listed as questionable on the injury report right now, including Collie, WR Pierre Garcon, Addai, and C Jeff Saturday.
The Jags are in a lot of trouble right now, as they are most likely to fall to 1-3 in this game. Three of the next four at that point are on the road, while the one home game is against the Tennessee Titans. The offense ranks 30th in the NFL in both total yardage (277.7 YPG) and scoring (13.3 PPG). There is a ton of pressure on QB David Garrard, who has to realize that his time as the starting signal caller is short at this point unless he shapes up. He is leading the nation’s 27th ranked passing attack at just 166.0 yards per game. Garrard has thrown four TD passes against five picks. There are no rushing TDs for either RB Maurice Jones-Drew or anyone else on the team this year. Jones-Drew is averaging 19 carries per game and has 217 yards. Numbers like that just aren’t going to cut it though, and this offense as a whole just has to get better. The defense hasn’t been much better, though. This unit has allowed a total of 66 points in its last two games, and though the offenses for the San Diego Chargers and Philadelphia Eagles are good, they’re not that of the Colts.
It seems awfully square to just keep taking the Colts week after week, but it continues to pay off. Manning just has a knack for winning games like this by two or three scores, just like he did last week against the Denver Broncos. Go with Indy as your NFL free picks on Sunday afternoon.
Selection: Indianapolis Colts -7
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