November 6, 2010

Indianapolis Colts vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Free Pick for Week 9



Indianapolis Colts
(5-2, 4-2-1 ATS)

Philadelphia Eagles
(4-3, 3-4 ATS)

Two of the best teams in the NFL will duke it out in a crucial Week 9 betting battle in the City of Brotherly Love, as the Philadelphia Eagles play host to the Indianapolis Colts.

The Colts really saved their season last Monday night, taking care of the Houston Texans by two scores in spite of the fact that they were playing without a number of key superstars. Indy still has all sorts of injury problems, as TE Dallas Clark, S Bob Sanders, WR Anthony Gonzalez, RB Joseph Addai, S Melvin Bullitt, and LB Clint Session are all out of the lineup. There are a number of other issues that this team is dealing with as well, but as long as QB Peyton Manning is on the field, the Colts really should be the better team out there. Manning is leading the No. 2 ranked offense in the game at 402.9 yards per game, and he has thrown for 2,184 yards and 15 scores against just two picks. The only receiver that has been in the lineup in all seven Indy games this year has been WR Reggie Wayne. Wayne has 49 catches for 641 yards and three TDs. Trying to maintain DE Robert Mathis and DE Dwight Freeney is nearly impossible at times. These two have combined for 10.5 sacks this year, but the rest of the team only has 2.5 sacks.

Philly might be playing its biggest game of the year this weekend, as a win against the defending AFC champs would be the biggest of the season. The last look we got at the Eagles was back on October 24th, a 37-19 loss at the Tennessee Titans. QB Michael Vick has been out of the lineup for almost a month now, but he is ready to come back to the field this week during this crucial stretch of the season. We already knew that Vick had the better legs of the two Eagles quarterbacks, as he has 187 rushing yards in four games. What we didn’t know was that the southpaw might have the better arm as well. Vick threw for 799 yards and six scores without getting picked off before QB Kevin Kolb had to come back into the fold. WR DeSean Jackson is averaging 20.8 yards per catch this year, and he appears to be ready to come back into the lineup as well. WR Jeremy Maclin has been the constant, as he has 30 catches, 458 yards, and six TDs this year. RB LeSean McCoy has 105 rushes and leads the team with 38 catches. He is averaging exactly 110.0 yards per game this year between rushing and receiving, and he is going to be a real key to slowing the Indianapolis defense.

This is a very, very fishy NFL line. The Colts really seem like they should be favored in this game by a few points, yet the oddsmakers are giving the nod to the Eagles and implying that they would be dead even with Indianapolis on a neutral playing field. We aren’t so sure about that last fact, but we are absolutely sure that the Eagles have a lot of intangibles going their way this week, and those will be the reasons that they prove to be victorious on Sunday.

NFL Free Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -3

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