Iowa State Cyclones
(3-3, 3-3 ATS)
(5-0, 2-3 ATS)
For poor Iowa State, this is yet another brutal game in a schedule that no team should have to go through. The Cyclones have already played one of the best teams in the MAC, one of the best in the Big Ten, one of the best in the FCS, one of the best mid-majors, and has to play at both Oklahoma and Texas this season. So far, the offense really only has one solid performance, a 52 point outburst against the Texas Tech Red Raiders. QB Austen Arnaud is really still having a disappointing season even though he is now up to 958 passing yards and eight TDs against seven INTs. The only man on the team with more than two TDs through six games is RB Alexander Robinson, who has five on the ground. Robinson is averaging just under 100 total yards of offense per game, and he’ll need to step up in a big way to get the Cyclones into the win column for the fourth time this year. He is listed as questionable with a foot injury that could hamper him even if he does play, though. The real bad news came last week against the Utah Utes, as the visitors came to town and dropped a whopping 68 on ISU. If you take away the two easiest games on the slate, the Cyclones are averaging allowing 42.0 points per game.
With the defense continuing to put up sloppy showing after sloppy showing, the offense for the Sooners has to keep stepping up to stay in the win column. There’s no doubt that there is still a ton of talent on this side of the ball in spite of the fact that the team lost three first round draft picks on offense this year. QB Landry Jones got a ton of experience last season after the injury to QB Sam Bradford, and it is paying off this year. Jones has thrown for 1,457 yards and 11 scores on the season. RB DeMarco Murray is rounding into a Heisman Trophy candidate, and it feels like he is just one really big game away from becoming amongst the potential finalists. Murray has 551 rushing yards, 142 receiving yards, and 124 return yards. He has crossed the end zone stripe ten times on the season. WR Ryan Broyles is the deep threat of the bunch. He has caught 46 passes, over double that of anyone else on the roster, and he has 518 yards and four scores as well.
Oklahoma is clearly the better team, but that doesn’t mean that it is going to be covering more than three TDs. The Sooners haven’t beaten anyone except for the Florida State Seminoles by this margin this year, and we tend to think that the Cyclones are going to do everything they can to stay competitive.
NCAA Football Free Pick: Iowa State +22.5