Date/Time: November 9, 2013 12:00 pm EST
College Football Betting Favorite: Texas Tech -3
The Texas Tech Red Raiders were unbeaten two weeks ago. Now, they are coming off two straight losses and looking to get back on track. Kansas State is just 4-4 on the season, but Bill Snyder’s Wildcats are playing their best football of the year right now. The oddsmakers have lots of respect for Snyder (as they should) and this line sits at Texas Tech by a field goal.
Kansas State has dropped off quite a bit from last year since Collin Klein and other key starters moved on. The Wildcats lost at home to North Dakota State in their home opener, and it was assumed by many that this season should be written off. Kansas State has lost three more games, but it’s important to point out that their four losses this year have come by a combined 27 points. They played Baylor very tough at home, and nearly knocked off Oklahoma State on the road.
The Wildcats are primarily a running team. Kansas State has two very good runnersin Daniel Sams and John Hubert. Sams has 113 carries on the year and Hubert has 114. Both of them are averaging about 5 yards per carry. Sams is a quarterback who runs the option similar to what they used to do with Klein, and Hubert is the team’s tailback. Wide receiver Tyler Lockett is the team’s most explosive player. Lockett has 44 catches and four touchdowns so far this year. Defensively, Kansas State is 32nd in the nation in total defense as well as points allowed per game.
Texas Tech sprinted off to a 7-0 start, but the team lost at Oklahoma and was crushed by Oklahoma State at home last week. The Red Raiders defense looked good early in the year, but they have been torched the last two weeks. Oklahoma State put up 52 points and 492 yards on Texas Tech last weekend. Texas Tech shot themselves in the foot far too many times in that game as well. The Red Raiders fumbled the ball 3 times (lost one) and they threw two interceptions. Texas Tech’s secondary has been taken advantage of in a big way the last two weeks, and they’ll have to be better moving forward if this team is going to be a player in the Big 12 race down the stretch.
Offensively, Texas Tech is still putting up very big numbers. Davis Webb has been the starting quarterback the last few weeks. He’s expected to start again this weekend as Baker Mayfield struggles with an injury. The Red Raiders are second in the nation in passing offense. Webb has thrown for more than 2,200 yards despite only getting a few snaps early in the season. Jace Amaro has an amazing 79 catches already this year. Amaro has already topped the 1,000 yard mark when it comes to receiving yards. Texas Tech is scoring 39.1 points per game.
Free Pick: Texas Tech -3
This is definitely a tough game to get a read on, but I’ll take the Red Raiders at home to get back on track. Their offense is far more dynamic than Kansas State’s and I think Coach Kingsbury will have them ready to play in this one.
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