May 29, 2009

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets Game 6 Pick

NBA Playoff Preview
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets (Lakers lead 3-2)
Friday, 9:05 pm Eastern – ESPN

 

SBG Global Opening Line: Nuggets  -  5 ,  Total  208

 

The Los Angeles Lakers will try and close out the Denver Nuggets in Game 6 of the Western Conference Finals on Friday.  The Nuggets have outplayed the Lakers for the most part in this series but at critical times they have made mistakes and they trail three games to two. “For most of the series, we outplayed them for most stretches of the game,” Denver’s Chauncey Billups said. “We just couldn’t get over the hump in the fourth quarter in a few different situations.”

 

SBG Global reports that early NBA betting has the public taking Lakers on the Road.

 

The Nuggets have not played with much discipline in this series and it has cost them but head coach George Karl is not going to do anything different on Friday. “You guys are almost saying you’ve got to have savvy and poise to be a championship team,” Karl told reporters, “I mean, you think the Detroit Pistons have the poise that the San Antonio Spurs have? No, I mean there’s a different way of handling emotional, passionate, intense players. We have some guys who are emotional. Maybe a little too emotional. But for me, I’m not going to tell them to stop that because I think that stops them from becoming a competitor.”

 

The Lakers have been so unpredictable in the playoffs that anything is possible in Game 6.  If Los Angeles brings their best game they could end this series but rarely have the Lakers played great in back-to-back games.

“That’s what the conversation has been about this entire postseason, our team, our potential and our capabilities,” Derek Fisher said.

 

Here are the NBA betting stats for Friday’s game. The Lakers are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. The Lakers are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings between the two teams.

 

The Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. The Nuggets are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games overall.

 

SBG Global Current Line: Nuggets  -  5.5 ,  Total  208.5

 

The Under is 9-1 in the Lakers last 10 Conference Finals games. The Under is 11-4 in the Lakers last 15 road games.

 

The Over is 11-5 in the Nuggets last 16 games as a home favorite. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Denver between the two teams.

 

Pick: Nuggets

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