NCAA Football Betting Preview
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (2-2) at Nevada Wolf Pack (1-3)|
Friday October 7th, 9:00PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Nevada -10 ½, 58 O/U
The Nevada Wolf Pack will host the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in a WAC Conference meeting this Friday from Mackay Stadium. The Wolf Pack are coming off their first victory of the year after racking up 63 points against UNLV. The Bulldogs on the other hand are riding a wave of two straight wins over Nicholls State and Hawaii. The Bulldogs took down Hawaii 27-6 last Wednesday on the big stage and will get the chance to capture another victory in front of the nation again this Friday night. However, the task will be much more difficult for Louisiana Tech as they will enter the game as 10.5 point underdogs.
The Wolf Pack are armed with an explosive offense led by QB Colin Kaepernick, but the offense has yet to find a lot of success against their brutal out of conference match-ups with teams like Notre Dame and Missouri. However, the offense will be poised to turn the corner against an equally matched conference opponent and Kaepernick will be ready to post numbers similar to 2008. In last year’s breakout season, the Wolf Pack quarterback threw for 2,849 yards and ran for another 1,130 resulting in an amazing 39 total touchdowns. Kaepernick and running back Luke Lippincott have performed well against the tough competition this year on the ground. Lippincott leads the team with 336 yards averaging 6.6 yards per carry. Kaepernick has been equally successful rushing for 295 yards averaging 6.3 yards per carry. Both guys will attempt to shine with their legs against a Bulldogs defense that has failed to stop the run against rushing teams this season.
The Wolf Pack passing game has been held to rather low numbers averaging just 191 yards per game through the air. However, Kaepernick devastated this Bulldogs defense a year ago racking up 397 passing yards to go along with 4 touchdowns. It is that type of performance Nevada is hoping helps get the offense back on track this Friday night. If that is to happen, the Wolf Pack will have to get help from the young receivers. Freshmen Brandon Wimberly leads the team with 287 reception yards and sophomore Tray Session has 17 catches for 184 yards. These youngsters will have to step up and make some plays when Kaepernick drops back to pass and keep the defense from creeping into the box all night.
Louisiana Tech has yet to prove themselves on the offensive side of the ball. The Bulldogs have averaged just 354 yards per game of total offense. The defense come up big in last week’s battle with Hawaii holding the Warriors dangerous passing offense to just 6 points and 308 total yards. The Bulldogs defense had to replace a few linebackers and guys in the secondary last season, but they appear to have reloaded strongly. Louisiana Tech is allowing just 194 yards in the pass defense and has taken on some talented passing teams like Auburn and Hawaii. If they can stand strong against the arm of Kaepernick, then it will help the changes of inflicting some revenge from last year’s 34-31 loss to the Wolf Pack.
On offense the team is led by veteran quarterback Ross Jenkins. However, the passing offense has been limited to success averaging just 193 yards per game and 3 touchdowns on the season. Jenkins made some mistakes in limited action last year, but has done fairly well minimizing those mistakes this season throwing just 2 picks. The offense main production relies heavily on running back Daniel Porter. The senior had a breakout season last year rushing for 1,100 plus yards and leads the team with 298 this season. More importantly Porter rushed for a strong 160 yards in last week’s win against Hawaii in the conference opener. The offense has struggled early on and if they can not make some passing plays early look for Porter to get a load of carries with the football.
Pick – The Wolf Pack are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games which is not very impressive. However, their offense will give them the opportunity to post points as the Bulldogs offense continues to struggle. Louisiana Tech is just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games as well. Take Nevada -10.5