Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
(3-4, 3-4 ATS)
Boise State Broncos
(6-0, 5-1 ATS)
For La Tech, a win in this game would just be tremendous. However, we recognize that the goal for the Bulldogs is going to be to achieve respectability without getting blown away. A quarterback quandary was in place in Ruston earlier this year, but after watching QB Ross Jenkins throw for 422 yards and three scores two weeks ago against the Idaho Vandals, there is certainly no doubt about the man that is going to be calling the shots on Tuesday. RB Lennon Creer is respectable, and there is no shame in the fact that he has rushed for 568 yards and has four scores on the season. The problem comes from the defense, particularly in games against good teams. The Navy Midshipmen, Texas A&M Aggies, Hawaii Warriors, and the aforementioned Vandals have combined to score an average of 40.3 points per game against Louisiana Tech this year. The rest of the schedule has only combined for a grand total of 25 points. Unfortunately for the Techsters, this isn’t Grambling, Southern Miss, or Utah State that it is playing on Tuesday night.
We could go on and on and on about just how good the Broncos have been this year. The offense ranks No. 4 in the country in total yardage at 523.8 yards per game, while the defense is allowing nearly 1/3 of that, at just 210.2 yards per game, the best mark in the land. Now, we know that the Broncos haven’t played much of a schedule yet this season, but this isn’t much of a team that it is playing against either. There is no reason to think that they cannot keep their marks intact this week. Boise State ranks in the Top 15 in the nation in every single major offensive and defensive category, which is a feat regardless of who you are playing every Saturday in major college football. When you’ve got a quarterback that takes as good care of the football as QB Kellen Moore does, your offense has the potential to make a ton of scoreboard operators cry. Moore has completed just under 70 percent of his passes, is averaging 261.7 yards per game through the air and has the best TD/INT ratio in the nation at 16/1. RB Doug Martin is a man to watch as well. He might only have four scores, but he is certainly a load to try to take down. Martin has rushed the ball 74 times for 544 yards, an average of 7.4 yards per carry this season. Don’t forget about RB Jeremy Avery, RB DJ Harper, RB Matt Keiserman, and RB Jarvis Hodge. All four of those men have at least 130 rushing yards on the season as well.
Simply put, Boise State has everything going for it in this one. The Broncos have beaten their four teams that aren’t from major conferences by the average score of 54-5 this year, scoring at least 48 in all four games and allowing just three total touchdowns. The Techsters against teams with Top 25 potential? Losses to Hawaii and Texas A&M 41-21 and 48-16 respectively. La Tech is also just 17-41-1 ATS in its L/59 road games. This one shouldn’t be close.
NCAA Football Free Pick: Boise State Broncos -37.5