The Louisville Cardinals are out to show that they are much better than their last outing, while the Houston Cougars are still out to show that they belong. These two American Athletic Conference teams are both ticketed for a bowl game, but which bowl game they play in will be largely determined by the result of Saturday’s game, which will get underway at 7 PM ET at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium in Louisville.
Louisville Cardinals -15.5
Houston Cougars +15.5
Over 57.5 Points -110
Under 57.5 Points -110
This, unusually, is Louisville’s first home game in almost a month, and the Cardinals, who had once harbored thoughts of playing for the national championship, now have to win out and hope that Central Florida, the team that is in the driver’s seat, slips and falls so that they can even have a chance to make it to a BCS bowl game.
As it is, it looks like something much smaller, which is also an upset to Teddy Bridgewater, who had such Heisman hopes. He will have to settle for being one of the top selections in the next NFL Draft.
Houston (the +475 underdog according to the money line at BetAnySports) was vastly underestimated coming into its matchup against Central Florida, as it was a 13-point underdog as posted in the college football odds, but the Cougars are lot more solid than that, as they showed in a 19-14 defeat in which they had a couple of chances to win it from the UCF ten-yard line in the final minute but failed.
It was yet another close call for the Cougars, who had suffered their only previous loss to BYU by a single point. These guys are nothing to laugh at; this is not like recent seasons when they could run up 70 points on an opponent behind Case Keenum but were soft defensively. This Houston squad is tough to throw on; just ask UCF’s capable Blake Bortles, who had only 210 yards through the air.
So now the challenge comes back to Bridgewater, who is rated fourth in the nation in passing efficiency and completed 21 of 37 passes against UConn last time out, in what was a lackluster game for everyone involved – a 31-10 victory, but one that did not cover the number in the college football lines. of course, as most people who follow the AAC know, the Cardinals have been trying to get over the 38-35 home defeat they suffered at the hands of UCF, where they blew a big lead and a chance, ultimately to finish with a top five ranking.
College football bettors know that turnovers often make the difference in games that might otherwise be close, and in this particular case, both teams have been outstanding in that department. Houston, which has 18 interceptions from its defense, leads the nation with a +21 turnover margin, while Louisville is at +14, which is third best in the country. Houston got three takeaways against Central Florida last week but were unable to capitalize, as quarterback John O’Korn was picked off twice. He now has 23 TD passes and six interceptions. But will he help the Cougars get some respect by the time the final whistle sounds?
Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.
Latest posts by Cole Ryan