Point spread by VietBet: LSU -3.5
The LSU Tigers open their 2011 SEC schedule this upcoming Thursday night in a crucial West Division showdown against the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Davis Wade Stadium. The kick-off is slated for 8 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
LSU has gotten off to an impressive start by outscoring its opponents 89-30 in its first two games. It followed up a 40-27 victory over then-No.3 Oregon as a three-point underdog in its season opener with a 49-3 romp over Northwestern State as a 49-point home favorite. The total went ‘over’ the 54-point line against the Ducks, but stayed under the 56.5-point line against the Demons.
The Tigers have done a great job running the ball so far with Michael Ford leading the way with 168 yards on 27 carries. All together, seven different players have run the ball so far for LSU.
Mississippi State will look to bounce back from a tough 41-34 loss to Auburn last Saturday as a 5.5-point road favorite in its first conference game of the season. The total went ‘over’ the 57-point line. This followed a 59-14 romp over Memphis as a 30-point road favorite in its season opener. The total went ‘over’ in this game as well with the closing line set at 50.5. The Bulldogs are now 25th in the latest AP poll after climbing to 16th last week.
Quarterback Chris Relf had a chance to send the game against Auburn into overtime, but was stopped just short of the goal line on the final play of the game. To go along with his 157 yards rushing, he has completed 33-of-54 attempts for 397 yards and three touchdowns. Relf will need to come up big with both his arm and his legs this Saturday if the Bulldogs are going to have any chance to pull off the upset.
LSU is 2-3 against the spread in its last five games and the total has gone ‘over’ in four of its last six games. Mississippi State is 3-1 ATS in its last four games and the total has gone ‘over’ in four of its last five games.
Head-to-head, the Tigers have won the last 10 games straight-up dating back to 2001, but the Bulldogs hold a slight 3-2 edge ATS in the last five meetings. Two seasons ago, these two teams met at Davis Wade Stadium. LSU came away with a 30-26 victory but came nowhere near covering as a 12-point road favorite. The Bulldogs come into this game with one of their most talented teams in years, but it still will not be enough to go toe-to-toe with LSU for four quarters to cover the spread in this game.
College Football Pick: LSU 39 Mississippi State 30
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