Philly took the opener of this series Friday night 7-2 behind another quality outing from Vance Worley and five RBI from John Mayberry. But the Mets evened the series with an 11-2 victory Saturday, tagging Cole Hamels for seven runs in less than five innings and getting a quality start from John Niese.
So the Phillies, at 58-35, lead the NL East by 3.5 games over second-place Atlanta and 11 games over the 47-46 Mets.
Kyle Kendrick (4-4, 3.58) makes the start Sunday for Philly against Mike Pelfrey (5-8, 4.55) for the Mets. As of Sunday morning JustBet.com is listing New York as a -110 favorite for Sunday afternoon’s game, with an over/under of 8.
Kendrick has spent most of his time in the bullpen this season, and is three-for-seven in quality starts. Over his last three outings Kendrick has allowed seven earned runs on 16 hits in 13 innings pitched. The Phillies are 3-4 in his starts this year, with the over/unders going 3-2.
Kendrick has made three appearances vs. the Mets this season, giving up two ER on nine hits in 8 1/3 IP.
Pelfrey is only nine-for-19 in quality starts this season, but he’s hooked together two in a row, allowing two ER on 13 hits in his last 12 IP. But on the season the Mets are just 6-13 in Pelfrey’s starts, with the over/unders going 8-9.
Pelfrey has started three times vs. Philly this year, and has been tagged for 12 ER on 20 hits in 14 IP. But Pelfrey has been very good at Citi Field this season, with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in his seven home starts.
Philly is 24-20 on the road this season, while the Mets are 20-23 at home.
So far this year the Phillies have taken seven of 11 games from New York. And the over/unders have gone 7-2-2 in this series this season.
On the injury front New York is already playing without 3B David Wright and SS Jose Reyes, and OF Carlos Beltran is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game as he deals with the flu. Philly, meanwhile, is playing without IF Placido Polanco and OF Shane Victorino, who are both on the DL with various ailments.
The over/unders are 42-43 in Phillies games this season, 50-39 in Mets games, and a surprising 24-17 in games played at Citi Field, which have averaged 8.4 total runs per. Last year Mets home games averaged 7.6 runs.
As for Sunday’s game we’re not sure who’s going to win, but with neither starting pitcher lighting things up, we’ll go with the over eight on the total.