NFL Football Betting Preview
Miami Dolphins (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (4-5)
Thursday November 19th, 8:20PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Carolina -3, 43.5 O/U
The Carolina Panthers have clawed their way back from a 0-3 start to win 4 of the last 6 games. Carolina captured a big win last week at home taking down the Falcons 28-19 and now looks to keep their momentum going this Thursday night when they host the Miami Dolphins. Miami has had a similar journey through the first half of the season. The Dolphins lost their first 3 games as well and have fought back to get to the 4-5 mark.
The Dolphins manufactured a game winning field goal drive last week over the Buccaneers and they are playing pretty well. However, the Dolphins lost their most important player last week in running back Ronnie Brown. Brown has led the famous “wild cat” formation all season and has really caused problems for defenses rushing for 8 scores on the season. However, Brown went down with an ankle injury against Tampa Bay and is expected to be out this Thursday. The question is who will step up for the Dolphins offense?
Dolphins QB Chad Henne is having a decent season as Chad Pennington’s replacement. Henne threw some key passes to led Miami down the field for the game winning field goal last week and he will be important this week against the Panthers. Henne is completing just 58% with 5 touchdowns and 4 picks. Expect the pass offense to throw the ball a bit more this week and give the majority of the work load to running back Ricky Williams. Williams racked up 102 yards on 20 carries in Browns absence last week. Williams has also been solid on the season averaging 5.3 yards per carry and it will be up to him to pick up the slack again.
Don’t look now Panthers fans, but QB Jake Delhomme has not gone 3 straight games without an interception. Delhomme went 15 for 24 with 195 yards and 2 scores in last week’s win over Atlanta. However, the running game is what is really starting to heat up for the Carolina offense. Tailbacks DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart combined for 174 yards with 2 touchdowns. If those two guys keep rolling, the Panthers will be tough to beat considering they are the big reason the Panthers ended the regular season last year tied with the Giants for an NFC best 12-4 record. The passing game just has not been consistent enough to rely on, but if both running backs can produce then Carolina could get back to the .500 mark on the season.
Betting Trends –
The Panthers have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, but are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home. However, Carolina is 10-3 SU against the 13 games at home. Miami is 4-2 ATS and is an impressive 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on the road. The Dolphins have also reached the over total in 5 of the last 6 games.
Pick – Panthers running game beats the Dolphins running game in a low scoring affair.